AGNC Investment Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AGNC
 Stock
  

USD 9.96  0.02  0.20%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding AGNC Investment Corp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides AGNC Investment buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AGNC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of AGNC Investment's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from AGNC Investment's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to AGNC Investment Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AGNC Investment and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards AGNC Investment Corp.

Execute AGNC Investment Buy or Sell Advice

The AGNC Investment recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AGNC Investment Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AGNC Investment Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AGNC Investment's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AGNC InvestmentBuy AGNC Investment
Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

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Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

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Financial Strenth (F Score)

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Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
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Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon AGNC Investment Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), Jensen Alpha of (0.25), Total Risk Alpha of (0.30) and Treynor Ratio of (0.13)
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on AGNC Investment Corp. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available right now. To make sure AGNC Investment is not overpriced, please confirm all AGNC Investment Corp fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, ebitda, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and cash per share . Given that AGNC Investment Corp has a price to book of 1.02 X, we suggest you to validate AGNC Investment Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the future given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

AGNC Investment Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

AGNC Investment Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AGNC Investment Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company currently holds 9.91 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.76, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AGNC Investment Corp has a current ratio of 0.23, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist AGNC Investment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AGNC Investment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AGNC Investment Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AGNC Investment to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AGNC Investment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
On 9th of November 2022 AGNC Investment paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: The 3 Best-Performing Mortgage REITs Over The Past 4 Weeks - Yahoo Finance

AGNC Investment Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AGNC Investment's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AGNC Investment's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AGNC Investment stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AGNC Investment Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AGNC Investment returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AGNC Investment.
Mean Return-0.16Value At Risk-5.63
Potential Upside5.35Standard Deviation3.27
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AGNC Investment historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

AGNC Investment Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AGNC Investment or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AGNC Investment's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AGNC Investment stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.25
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.33
σ
Overall volatility
3.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

AGNC Investment Volatility Alert

AGNC Investment Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.75 and kurtosis of 2.31. However, we advise investors to further study AGNC Investment Corp technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AGNC Investment's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AGNC Investment's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

AGNC Investment Implied Volatility

AGNC Investment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AGNC Investment Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AGNC Investment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AGNC Investment stock will not fluctuate a lot when AGNC Investment's options are near their expiration.

AGNC Investment Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing AGNC Investment's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AGNC Investment's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AGNC Investment and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AGNC Investment or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AGNC Investment's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AGNC Investment by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare AGNC Investment to competition
FundamentalsAGNC InvestmentPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.20) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(0.0279) %(0.14) %
Operating Margin1.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation45.74 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding571.62 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.40 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions43.17 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted29.31 M4.71 M
Price to Earning1.74 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.02 X9.51 X
Price to Sales7.43 X11.42 X
Revenue837 M9.43 B
Gross Profit837 M27.38 B
EBITDA824 M3.9 B
Net Income749 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents9.4 B2.7 B
Cash per Share16.45 X5.01 X
Total Debt9.91 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity5.76 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.23 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share10.14 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations1.54 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.81 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.86) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth17.55 X4.89 X
Target Price9.2
Number of Employees5018.84 K
Beta1.19-0.15
Market Capitalization5.67 B19.03 B
Total Asset68.15 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(3.99 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(43.95 B)1.48 B
Current Asset4.16 B9.34 B
   Agnc Investment exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

AGNC Investment Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AGNC Investment . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About AGNC Investment Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AGNC Investment Corp? Buying financial instruments such as AGNC Investment Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2017 2018 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable299 M518 M466.2 M503.01 M
Receivables10.96 B22.3 B20.07 B21.66 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having AGNC Investment in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Utilities Thematic Idea Now

Utilities
Utilities Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Utilities theme has 27 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Utilities Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to AGNC Investment Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Stock Screener module to find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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Is AGNC Investment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AGNC Investment. If investors know AGNC Investment will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AGNC Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of AGNC Investment Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AGNC Investment that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AGNC Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AGNC Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AGNC Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AGNC Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AGNC Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine AGNC Investment value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AGNC Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.