Advanced Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ADES
 Stock
  

USD 2.83  0.08  2.75%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Advanced Emissions Solutions is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Advanced Emissions buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ADES positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Advanced Emissions' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Advanced Emissions' buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Advanced Emissions Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Advanced and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Advanced Emissions Solutions.

Execute Advanced Emissions Buy or Sell Advice

The Advanced recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Advanced Emissions Solutions. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Advanced Emissions Solutions or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Advanced Emissions' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Advanced EmissionsBuy Advanced Emissions
Strong Sell

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Advanced Emissions Solutions has a Mean Deviation of 2.57, Standard Deviation of 3.75 and Variance of 14.09
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Advanced Emissions. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Advanced Emissions is not overpriced, please confirm all Advanced Emissions fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Please also double-check Advanced Emissions Solutions price to earning to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Advanced Emissions Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Advanced Emissions generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Advanced Emissions has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: New North Carolina Executive Order Aims to Increase Percentage Zero-Emission Trucks Buses Purchased in the State - Womble Bond Dickinson

Advanced Emissions Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Advanced Emissions' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Advanced Emissions' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Advanced Emissions stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Advanced Emissions Solutions price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Advanced Emissions returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Advanced Emissions.
Mean Return-0.35Value At Risk-4.52
Potential Upside5.62Standard Deviation3.75
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Advanced Emissions historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Advanced Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Advanced Emissions is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Advanced Emissions Solutions backward and forwards among themselves. Advanced Emissions' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Advanced Emissions' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zebra Capital Management LlcCommon Shares20.1 K212 K
Zebra Capital Management LlcCommon Shares12.8 K190 K
Yakira Capital Management IncCommon Shares14.2 K130 K
Xtx Topco LtdCommon Shares11.4 K75 K
Xtx Topco LtdCommon Shares10.5 K78 K
Wilbanks Smith Thomas Asset Management LlcCommon Shares100.01000
Wexford Capital LpCommon Shares7.2 K39 K
Note, although Advanced Emissions' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Advanced Emissions Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(428 K)(467 K)(12.58 M)(7.47 M)(6.7 M)(7.23 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion789 K723 K7.37 M8.54 M7.93 M8.56 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents3.75 M(6.92 M)(6.69 M)18.85 M52.85 M57.02 M
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(16.96 M)(26.11 M)(6.24 M)(696 K)(246 K)(252.47 K)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(32.89 M)19.51 M(55.72 M)(27.73 M)(17.53 M)(17.99 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing48.39 M(16.54 M)(13.24 M)(7.89 M)44.38 M47.88 M
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals40.14 M48.81 M46.42 M51.08 M58.74 M46.77 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations(11.75 M)(9.89 M)62.26 M54.47 M26 M28.05 M
Share Based Compensation2.21 M2.49 M2.01 M2.5 M1.93 M2.58 M

Advanced Emissions Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Advanced Emissions or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Advanced Emissions' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Advanced stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.49
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.26
σ
Overall volatility
3.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Advanced Emissions Volatility Alert

Advanced Emissions Solutions exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.18 and kurtosis of 4.35. However, we advise investors to further study Advanced Emissions Solutions technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Advanced Emissions' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Advanced Emissions' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Advanced Emissions Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Advanced Emissions' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Advanced Emissions' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Advanced Emissions and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Advanced Emissions or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Advanced Emissions' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Advanced Emissions by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Advanced Emissions to competition
FundamentalsAdvanced EmissionsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0005 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(0.0294) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin0.0007 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.08) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(9.05 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding19.11 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders2.10 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions36.50 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted31.02 K4.71 M
Price to Earning2.04 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.37 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.51 X11.42 X
Revenue100.29 M9.43 B
Gross Profit38.22 M27.38 B
EBITDA82.52 M3.9 B
Net Income60.4 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents80.82 M2.7 B
Cash per Share4.36 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.15 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.09 %48.70 %
Current Ratio5.49 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.71 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations26 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.64 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.25 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.10 X4.89 X
Target Price22.0
Number of Employees13918.84 K
Beta0.71-0.15
Market Capitalization54.08 M19.03 B
Total Asset185.44 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings61.86 M9.33 B
Working Capital(24.11 M)1.48 B
   Acquisition by Wong Joseph M of 33420 shares of Advanced Emissions subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About Advanced Emissions Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Advanced Emissions Solutions? Buying financial instruments such as Advanced Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables7.43 M13.12 M12.62 M12.87 M
Inventories15.46 M9.88 M7.85 M6.49 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Advanced Emissions in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Obamacare Thematic Idea Now

Obamacare
Obamacare Theme
Health care services and providers including hospitals, clinics and nursing homes that hope to benefit from Obamacare program. The Obamacare theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Obamacare Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Advanced Emissions Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Advanced Emissions information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Advanced Emissions' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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Is Advanced Emissions' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Advanced Emissions. If investors know Advanced will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Advanced Emissions listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
12.28
Market Capitalization
54.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.08) 
Return On Assets
(0.0294) 
Return On Equity
5.0E-4
The market value of Advanced Emissions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Advanced that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Advanced Emissions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Advanced Emissions' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Advanced Emissions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Advanced Emissions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Advanced Emissions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Advanced Emissions value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Advanced Emissions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.