Aci Worldwide Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ACIW
 Stock
  

USD 25.87  0.02  0.08%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Aci Worldwide is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Aci Worldwide buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ACIW positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aci Worldwide's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Aci Worldwide's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Aci Worldwide Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aci Worldwide and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Aci Worldwide.

Execute Aci Worldwide Buy or Sell Advice

The Aci Worldwide recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aci Worldwide. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aci Worldwide or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aci Worldwide's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aci WorldwideBuy Aci Worldwide
Strong Buy

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Aci Worldwide has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.20), Jensen Alpha of (0.16), Total Risk Alpha of (0.029661) and Treynor Ratio of (0.35)
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Aci Worldwide. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Aci Worldwide is not overpriced, please confirm all Aci Worldwide fundamentals, including its total debt, market capitalization, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Aci Worldwide has a number of shares shorted of 2.72 M, we suggest you to validate Aci Worldwide market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Aci Worldwide Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aci Worldwide generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aci Worldwide was previously known as ACI WORLDWIDE INC and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol TSAI.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from indiandefencenews.info: Anti-Money Laundering Solution Market Giants Spending is going to Boom FICO, NICE, ACI Worldwide, BAE Systems, SAS Institute, LexisNexis Indian Defence News - Indian Defence News

Aci Worldwide current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Aci Worldwide analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Aci Worldwide analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price39.40
Target Median Price38.00
Target High Price46.00
Recommendation Mean1.60
Number Of Analyst Opinions5
Target Low Price36.00
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Aci Worldwide Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aci Worldwide's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Aci Worldwide's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aci Worldwide stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aci Worldwide price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aci Worldwide returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aci Worldwide stock.
Mean Return-0.35Value At Risk-4.57
Potential Upside3.22Standard Deviation2.45
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aci Worldwide historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aci Worldwide Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(25.72 M)(18.27 M)(23.1 M)(17.8 M)(20.58 M)(22.21 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion102.22 M97.35 M138.5 M163.76 M143.91 M132.71 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(6.04 M)78.79 M(31.02 M)124.25 M(81.24 M)(83.38 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(25.87 M)(34.34 M)(23.03 M)(24.77 M)(109.91 M)(112.8 M)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(72.28 M)(23.36 M)690.25 M(236.8 M)(109.14 M)(112.01 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(98.15 M)(57.7 M)668.35 M(159.89 M)(256.88 M)(263.64 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(54.41 M)(45.36 M)(830.48 M)(30.7 M)(45.37 M)(48.95 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations146.2 M183.93 M132.6 M314.89 M220.47 M203.37 M
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash322 K(2.08 M)(1.5 M)(57 K)533 K575.08 K
Share Based Compensation13.68 M20.36 M36.76 M29.6 M27.24 M26.35 M

Aci Worldwide Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aci Worldwide or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aci Worldwide stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aci Worldwide stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.16
β
Beta against DOW1.04
σ
Overall volatility
2.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Aci Worldwide Volatility Alert

Aci Worldwide exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.34 and kurtosis of -0.23. However, we advise investors to further study Aci Worldwide technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aci Worldwide's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aci Worldwide's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Aci Worldwide Implied Volatility

Aci Worldwide's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aci Worldwide stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aci Worldwide's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aci Worldwide stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aci Worldwide's options are near their expiration.

Aci Worldwide Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aci Worldwide's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aci Worldwide's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aci Worldwide and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aci Worldwide or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aci Worldwide's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aci Worldwide by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aci Worldwide to competition
FundamentalsAci WorldwidePeer Average
Return On Equity10.43 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset4.26 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin9.32 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin16.29 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.19 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding117.57 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.12 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions98.28 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted2.72 M4.71 M
Price to Earning36.13 X28.72 X
Price to Book2.54 X9.51 X
Price to Sales2.22 X11.42 X
Revenue1.37 B9.43 B
Gross Profit731.73 M27.38 B
EBITDA281.19 M3.9 B
Net Income127.79 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents122.06 M2.7 B
Cash per Share1.06 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.14 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.91 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.24 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share10.17 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations220.47 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.99 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.72 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.43 X4.89 X
Number of Employees3.61 K18.84 K
Beta1.08-0.15
Market Capitalization3.04 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.98 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1 B9.33 B
Working Capital(2.36 M)1.48 B
Current Asset382.5 M9.34 B
   Acquisition by Wilmot Jeremy of 22089 shares of Aci Worldwide subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About Aci Worldwide Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aci Worldwide? Buying financial instruments such as Aci Worldwide Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Aci Worldwide investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable37.01 M41.22 M41.31 M37.42 M
Receivables359.2 M342.88 M320.4 M275.59 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aci Worldwide in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Construction Materials
Construction Materials Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Construction Materials theme has 61 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Construction Materials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Aci Worldwide Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Aci Worldwide information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aci Worldwide's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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Is Aci Worldwide's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aci Worldwide. If investors know Aci Worldwide will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aci Worldwide listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.66
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.13
Return On Assets
0.0484
Return On Equity
0.12
The market value of Aci Worldwide is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aci Worldwide that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aci Worldwide's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aci Worldwide's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aci Worldwide's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aci Worldwide's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aci Worldwide's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aci Worldwide value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aci Worldwide's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.