Aarons Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AAN -  USA Stock  

USD 18.64  0.12  0.65%

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aarons Holdings is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Aarons Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AAN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aarons Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Aarons Holdings' buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Aarons Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aarons and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Aarons Holdings.

Execute Aarons Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The Aarons recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aarons Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aarons Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aarons Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aarons HoldingsBuy Aarons Holdings
Hold

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Close to AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Aarons Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02013), Jensen Alpha of (0.036344), Total Risk Alpha of (0.014201) and Treynor Ratio of (0.05)
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Aarons Holdings and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Aarons Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all Aarons Holdings fundamentals, including its net income, book value per share, and the relationship between the revenue and total debt . Given that Aarons Holdings has a price to earning of 6.43 X, we suggest you to validate Aarons Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Aarons Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aarons Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aarons Holdings was previously known as AARONS COMPANY INC and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol AAN.
Aarons Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from www.indiewire.com: Schmigadoon Aaron Tveits You Cant Tame Me Performance Took Only Two Takes - IndieWire

Aarons Holdings current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Aarons analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Aarons analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price27.50
Target Median Price26.50
Target High Price35.00
Recommendation Mean2.60
Number Of Analyst Opinions6
Target Low Price23.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Aarons Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aarons Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Aarons Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aarons Holdings stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aarons Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aarons Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aarons Holdings stock.
Mean Return-0.06Value At Risk-5
Potential Upside4.88Standard Deviation3.00
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aarons Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aarons Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Aarons Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aarons Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Aarons Holdings' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Aarons Holdings' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Blackrock IncCommon Shares5.7 M114.7 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon SharesM79.9 M
Copeland Capital Management LlcCommon SharesM41 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares1.4 M28.6 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares1.3 M25.6 M
Bank Of America CorpCommon Shares956.9 K19.2 M
Palisade Capital Management LlcCommon Shares953.5 K19.1 M
Note, although Aarons Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aarons Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aarons Holdings or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aarons Holdings stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aarons stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.04
β
Beta against DOW1.29
σ
Overall volatility
2.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Aarons Holdings Volatility Alert

Aarons Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.14 and kurtosis of -0.2. However, we advise investors to further study Aarons Holdings technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aarons Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aarons Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Aarons Holdings Implied Volatility

Aarons Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aarons Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aarons Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aarons Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aarons Holdings' options are near their expiration.

Aarons Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aarons Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aarons Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aarons Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aarons Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aarons Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aarons Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aarons Holdings to competition
FundamentalsAarons HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity12.94 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset9.53 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin5.23 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin44.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation934.92 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding31.48 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders3.16 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions100.69 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted1.94 M4.71 M
Price to Earning6.43 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.80 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.31 X11.42 X
Revenue1.82 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.16 B27.38 B
EBITDA802.56 M3.9 B
Net Income95.14 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents13.52 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.44 X5.01 X
Total Debt317.98 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.43 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.54 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share22.71 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations144.89 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.61 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.83 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.75) X4.89 X
Number of Employees9.17 K18.84 K
Beta2.0-0.15
Market Capitalization572.05 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.66 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.85 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.24 B1.48 B
Current Asset1.62 B9.34 B
   Acquisition by Douglas Lindsay of 75150 shares of Aarons Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Aarons Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aarons . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution14747.73
Daily Balance Of Power0.1558
Rate Of Daily Change1.01
Day Median Price18.98
Day Typical Price18.86
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator(0.27)

About Aarons Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aarons Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Aarons Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Aarons Holdings investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables179.41 M140.4 M126.36 M122.67 M
Inventories1.43 B610.26 M549.24 M719.7 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aarons Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Investor Favorites
Investor Favorites Theme
Macroaxis most traded equities with largest long positions over the last 2 years. The Investor Favorites theme has 21 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Investor Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Aarons Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Aarons Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aarons Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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Is Aarons Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aarons Holdings. If investors know Aarons will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aarons Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Aarons Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aarons that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aarons Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aarons Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aarons Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aarons Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aarons Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aarons Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aarons Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.