WP Carey Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 78.22

WPC
 Stock
  

USD 78.22  0.47  0.60%   

WP Carey's future price is the expected price of WP Carey instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WP Carey Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Book Value is expected to grow to 2.15, whereas Price to Earnings Ratio are forecasted to decline to 26.59.
  
WP Carey's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on WP Carey Co. Implied volatility approximates the future value of WP Carey based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in WP Carey Co over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $80.0 is a CALL option contract on WP Carey's common stock with a strick price of 80.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-28 at 15:52:37 for $0.6 and, as of today, has 17 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.55, and an ask price of $0.7. The implied volatility as of the 29th of November is 21.6835. View All WP Carey options

Closest to current price WP Carey long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Check out WP Carey Backtesting, WP Carey Valuation, WP Carey Correlation, WP Carey Hype Analysis, WP Carey Volatility, WP Carey History as well as WP Carey Performance. Please specify WP Carey time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like WP Carey odds to be computed.

WP Carey Target Price Odds to finish over 78.22

The tendency of WP Carey Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 78.22 90 days 78.22 
about 42.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WP Carey to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 42.6 (This WP Carey Co probability density function shows the probability of WP Carey Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon WP Carey has a beta of 0.75. This entails as returns on the market go up, WP Carey average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WP Carey Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. WP Carey is significantly underperforming DOW.
   WP Carey Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WP Carey

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WP Carey. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of WP Carey's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of WP Carey in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
76.2477.9779.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
70.1681.7283.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
77.4579.1880.91
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
78.0086.0091.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as WP Carey. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against WP Carey's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, WP Carey's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in WP Carey.

WP Carey Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WP Carey is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WP Carey's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WP Carey Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WP Carey within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.16
β
Beta against DOW0.75
σ
Overall volatility
5.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

WP Carey Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WP Carey for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WP Carey can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WP Carey generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 14th of October 2022 WP Carey paid $ 1.061 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: W.P. Carey Never Gonna Give You Up - Seeking Alpha

WP Carey Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WP Carey Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WP Carey's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WP Carey's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date29th of September 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out3.28%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate4.23
Short Percent Of Float3.80%
Float Shares205.99M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day799.9k
Shares Short Prior Month5.63M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.05M
Date Short Interest15th of November 2022

WP Carey Technical Analysis

WP Carey's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WP Carey Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WP Carey Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing WP Carey Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WP Carey Predictive Forecast Models

WP Carey time-series forecasting models is one of many WP Carey's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary WP Carey's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WP Carey

Checking the ongoing alerts about WP Carey for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WP Carey help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WP Carey generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 14th of October 2022 WP Carey paid $ 1.061 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: W.P. Carey Never Gonna Give You Up - Seeking Alpha
Check out WP Carey Backtesting, WP Carey Valuation, WP Carey Correlation, WP Carey Hype Analysis, WP Carey Volatility, WP Carey History as well as WP Carey Performance. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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When running WP Carey price analysis, check to measure WP Carey's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WP Carey is operating at the current time. Most of WP Carey's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WP Carey's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WP Carey's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WP Carey to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is WP Carey's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of WP Carey. If investors know WP Carey will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about WP Carey listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.31) 
Market Capitalization
16.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.17
Return On Assets
0.028
Return On Equity
0.0603
The market value of WP Carey is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of WP Carey that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of WP Carey's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is WP Carey's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because WP Carey's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect WP Carey's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between WP Carey's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine WP Carey value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WP Carey's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.