Walmart Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 190.0

WMT
 Stock
  

USD 127.61  1.03  0.81%   

Walmart's future price is the expected price of Walmart instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Walmart performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is likely to gain to 3.78 in 2022. Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to gain to 19.59 in 2022.
  
Walmart's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Walmart. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Walmart based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Walmart over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-12 CALL at $128.0 is a CALL option contract on Walmart's common stock with a strick price of 128.0 expiring on 2022-08-12. The contract was last traded on 2022-08-05 at 15:59:45 for $0.8 and, as of today, has 4 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.76, and an ask price of $0.84. The implied volatility as of the 8th of August is 19.7923. View All Walmart options

Closest to current price Walmart long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Check out Walmart Backtesting, Walmart Valuation, Walmart Correlation, Walmart Hype Analysis, Walmart Volatility, Walmart History as well as Walmart Performance. Please specify Walmart time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Walmart odds to be computed.

Walmart Target Price Odds to finish over 190.0

The tendency of Walmart Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 190.00  or more in 90 days
 127.61 90 days 190.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Walmart to move over $ 190.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Walmart probability density function shows the probability of Walmart Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Walmart price to stay between its current price of $ 127.61  and $ 190.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.37 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Walmart has a beta of 0.57. This entails as returns on the market go up, Walmart average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Walmart will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Walmart is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Walmart Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Walmart

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walmart. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Walmart's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Walmart in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
124.99127.40129.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
114.85133.45135.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
119.52121.93124.35
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
153.00171.19190.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Walmart. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Walmart's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Walmart's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Walmart.

Walmart Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Walmart is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Walmart's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Walmart, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Walmart within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.23
β
Beta against DOW0.57
σ
Overall volatility
9.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Walmart Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Walmart for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Walmart can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Walmart generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 68.48 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.8, which is OK given its current industry classification. Walmart has a current ratio of 0.84, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Walmart until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Walmart's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Walmart sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Walmart to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Walmart's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Walmart has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 48.0% of Walmart outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from www.investing.com: Walmart Has Started Slashing its Workforce - WSJ By Investing.com - Investing.com

Walmart Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Walmart Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Walmart's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Walmart's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.49%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.19
Short Percent Of Float0.94%
Float Shares1.43B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day11.02M
Shares Short Prior Month13.11M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month9.79M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.68%

Walmart Technical Analysis

Walmart's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Walmart Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Walmart. In general, you should focus on analyzing Walmart Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Walmart Predictive Forecast Models

Walmart time-series forecasting models is one of many Walmart's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Walmart's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Walmart

Checking the ongoing alerts about Walmart for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Walmart help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Walmart Alerts

Walmart Alerts and Suggestions

Walmart generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 68.48 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.8, which is OK given its current industry classification. Walmart has a current ratio of 0.84, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Walmart until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Walmart's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Walmart sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Walmart to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Walmart's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Walmart has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 48.0% of Walmart outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from www.investing.com: Walmart Has Started Slashing its Workforce - WSJ By Investing.com - Investing.com
Check out Walmart Backtesting, Walmart Valuation, Walmart Correlation, Walmart Hype Analysis, Walmart Volatility, Walmart History as well as Walmart Performance. Note that the Walmart information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Walmart's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

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When running Walmart price analysis, check to measure Walmart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Walmart is operating at the current time. Most of Walmart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Walmart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Walmart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Walmart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Walmart's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walmart. If investors know Walmart will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walmart listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.24
Market Capitalization
347 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.024
Return On Assets
0.0631
Return On Equity
0.16
The market value of Walmart is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walmart that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walmart's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walmart's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walmart's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walmart's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walmart's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Walmart value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walmart's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.