Wells Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 45.98

WFC
 Stock
  

USD 40.19  0.05  0.12%   

Wells Fargo's future price is the expected price of Wells Fargo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wells Fargo performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Book Value is expected to grow to 1.92. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 17.32.
  
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Check out Wells Fargo Backtesting, Wells Fargo Valuation, Wells Fargo Correlation, Wells Fargo Hype Analysis, Wells Fargo Volatility, Wells Fargo History as well as Wells Fargo Performance. Please specify Wells Fargo time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Wells Fargo odds to be computed.
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Wells Fargo Target Price Odds to finish over 45.98

The tendency of Wells Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 45.98  or more in 90 days
 40.19 90 days 45.98  about 36.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wells Fargo to move over $ 45.98  or more in 90 days from now is about 36.43 (This Wells Fargo probability density function shows the probability of Wells Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wells Fargo price to stay between its current price of $ 40.19  and $ 45.98  at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.72 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.27 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Wells Fargo will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Wells Fargo is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Wells Fargo Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Wells Fargo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wells Fargo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wells Fargo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Wells Fargo in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
37.7040.1242.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
36.1750.8953.31
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
41.0060.0870.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (10)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.553.804.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wells Fargo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wells Fargo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wells Fargo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Wells Fargo.

Wells Fargo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wells Fargo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wells Fargo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wells Fargo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wells Fargo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.16
β
Beta against DOW1.27
σ
Overall volatility
3.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Wells Fargo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wells Fargo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wells Fargo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wells Fargo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wells Fargo has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Wells Fargo has about 383.7 B in cash with (39.11 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 101.24, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Wells Fargo has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: Fed says banks could withstand 10 percent unemployment, 55 percent stock price drop in annual stress test - MarketWatch

Wells Fargo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wells Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wells Fargo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wells Fargo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.90%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.50
Short Percent Of Float0.90%
Float Shares3.78B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day29.1M
Shares Short Prior Month30.37M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month25.72M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.28%

Wells Fargo Technical Analysis

Wells Fargo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wells Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wells Fargo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wells Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wells Fargo Predictive Forecast Models

Wells Fargo time-series forecasting models is one of many Wells Fargo's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Wells Fargo's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wells Fargo

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wells Fargo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wells Fargo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Wells Fargo Alerts

Wells Fargo Alerts and Suggestions

Wells Fargo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wells Fargo has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Wells Fargo has about 383.7 B in cash with (39.11 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 101.24, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Wells Fargo has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: Fed says banks could withstand 10 percent unemployment, 55 percent stock price drop in annual stress test - MarketWatch
Check out Wells Fargo Backtesting, Wells Fargo Valuation, Wells Fargo Correlation, Wells Fargo Hype Analysis, Wells Fargo Volatility, Wells Fargo History as well as Wells Fargo Performance. Note that the Wells Fargo information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Wells Fargo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Complementary Tools for Wells Stock analysis

When running Wells Fargo price analysis, check to measure Wells Fargo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wells Fargo is operating at the current time. Most of Wells Fargo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wells Fargo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wells Fargo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wells Fargo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Wells Fargo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wells Fargo. If investors know Wells will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wells Fargo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Wells Fargo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wells that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wells Fargo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wells Fargo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wells Fargo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wells Fargo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wells Fargo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Wells Fargo value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wells Fargo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.