Verizon Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 37.84

VZ
 Stock
  

USD 37.84  1.56  3.96%   

Verizon Communications' future price is the expected price of Verizon Communications instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Verizon Communications performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Verizon Communications' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Verizon Communications. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Verizon Communications based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Verizon Communications over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-07 CALL at $38.0 is a CALL option contract on Verizon Communications' common stock with a strick price of 38.0 expiring on 2022-10-07. The contract was last traded on 2022-10-06 at 15:59:20 for $0.25 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.25, and an ask price of $0.29. The implied volatility as of the 6th of October is 41.3504. View All Verizon options

Closest to current price Verizon long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Also, please take a look at Verizon Communications Backtesting, Verizon Communications Valuation, Verizon Communications Correlation, Verizon Communications Hype Analysis, Verizon Communications Volatility, Verizon Communications History as well as Verizon Communications Performance. Please specify Verizon Communications time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Verizon Communications odds to be computed.

Verizon Communications Target Price Odds to finish over 37.84

The tendency of Verizon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 37.84 90 days 37.84 
over 95.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Verizon Communications to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.06 (This Verizon Communications probability density function shows the probability of Verizon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Verizon Communications has a beta of 0.71. This entails as returns on the market go up, Verizon Communications average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Verizon Communications will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Verizon Communications is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Verizon Communications Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Verizon Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verizon Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Verizon Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Verizon Communications in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
35.9837.5539.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
34.0644.1545.72
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
55.0059.8871.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Verizon Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Verizon Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Verizon Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Verizon Communications.

Verizon Communications Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Verizon Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Verizon Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Verizon Communications, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Verizon Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.4
β
Beta against DOW0.71
σ
Overall volatility
3.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Verizon Communications Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Verizon Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Verizon Communications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Verizon Communications generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Verizon Communications has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reports 179.18 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.05, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Verizon Communications has a current ratio of 0.74, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Verizon Communications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Verizon Communications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Verizon Communications sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Verizon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Verizon Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 64.0% of Verizon Communications outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.investorsobserver.com: How Will the Market React to Verizon Communications Inc. Stock Getting a Bearish Rating - InvestorsObserver

Verizon Communications Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Verizon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Verizon Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verizon Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.00%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.50
Short Percent Of Float1.00%
Float Shares4.2B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day21.58M
Shares Short Prior Month35.31M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month20.58M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield6.27%

Verizon Communications Technical Analysis

Verizon Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Verizon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Verizon Communications. In general, you should focus on analyzing Verizon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Verizon Communications Predictive Forecast Models

Verizon Communications time-series forecasting models is one of many Verizon Communications' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Verizon Communications' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Verizon Communications

Checking the ongoing alerts about Verizon Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Verizon Communications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Verizon Communications generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Verizon Communications has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reports 179.18 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.05, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Verizon Communications has a current ratio of 0.74, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Verizon Communications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Verizon Communications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Verizon Communications sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Verizon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Verizon Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 64.0% of Verizon Communications outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.investorsobserver.com: How Will the Market React to Verizon Communications Inc. Stock Getting a Bearish Rating - InvestorsObserver
Also, please take a look at Verizon Communications Backtesting, Verizon Communications Valuation, Verizon Communications Correlation, Verizon Communications Hype Analysis, Verizon Communications Volatility, Verizon Communications History as well as Verizon Communications Performance. Note that the Verizon Communications information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Verizon Communications' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

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When running Verizon Communications price analysis, check to measure Verizon Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Verizon Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Verizon Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Verizon Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Verizon Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Verizon Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Verizon Communications' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Verizon Communications. If investors know Verizon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Verizon Communications listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Verizon Communications is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Verizon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Verizon Communications' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Verizon Communications' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Verizon Communications' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Verizon Communications' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verizon Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Verizon Communications value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verizon Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.