Total Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 53.14

VXUS
 Etf
  

USD 46.74  0.97  2.12%   

Total Intl's future price is the expected price of Total Intl instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Total Intl Stock performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Total Intl's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Total Intl Stock. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Total Intl based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Total Intl Stock over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $45.0 is a CALL option contract on Total Intl's common stock with a strick price of 45.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-10-03 at 12:22:01 for $2.2 and, as of today, has 17 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.2, and an ask price of $2.45. The implied volatility as of the 3rd of October is 28.895. View All Total options

Closest to current price Total long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Also, please take a look at Total Intl Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Total Intl Correlation, Total Intl Hype Analysis, Total Intl Volatility, Total Intl History as well as Total Intl Performance. Please specify Total Intl time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Total Intl odds to be computed.

Total Intl Target Price Odds to finish over 53.14

The tendency of Total Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 53.14  or more in 90 days
 46.74 90 days 53.14 
about 18.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Total Intl to move over $ 53.14  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.12 (This Total Intl Stock probability density function shows the probability of Total Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Total Intl Stock price to stay between its current price of $ 46.74  and $ 53.14  at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.29 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Total Intl has a beta of 0.88. This entails Total Intl Stock market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Total Intl is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Total Intl Stock is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Total Intl Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Total Intl

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Total Intl Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Total Intl's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Total Intl in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
45.4146.6047.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
46.3147.5048.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Total Intl. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Total Intl's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Total Intl's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Total Intl Stock.

Total Intl Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Total Intl is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Total Intl's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Total Intl Stock, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Total Intl within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.09
β
Beta against DOW0.88
σ
Overall volatility
2.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Total Intl Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Total Intl for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Total Intl Stock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Total Intl Stock generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 22nd of September 2022 Total Intl paid $ 0.2804 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund keeps 96.92% of its net assets in stocks

Total Intl Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Total Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Total Intl's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Total Intl's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day8.81M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month5.2M

Total Intl Technical Analysis

Total Intl's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Total Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Total Intl Stock. In general, you should focus on analyzing Total Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Total Intl Predictive Forecast Models

Total Intl time-series forecasting models is one of many Total Intl's etf analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Total Intl's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Total Intl Stock

Checking the ongoing alerts about Total Intl for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Total Intl Stock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Total Intl Stock generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 22nd of September 2022 Total Intl paid $ 0.2804 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund keeps 96.92% of its net assets in stocks
Also, please take a look at Total Intl Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Total Intl Correlation, Total Intl Hype Analysis, Total Intl Volatility, Total Intl History as well as Total Intl Performance. You can also try Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Total Intl Stock price analysis, check to measure Total Intl's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Total Intl is operating at the current time. Most of Total Intl's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Total Intl's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Total Intl's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Total Intl to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Go
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Go
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Go
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Go
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Go
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Go
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Go
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Go
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Go
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Go
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
The market value of Total Intl Stock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Total that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Total Intl's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Total Intl's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Total Intl's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Total Intl's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Total Intl's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Total Intl value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Total Intl's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.