Vanguard Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 46.69

VXUS
 Etf
  

USD 52.68  0.00  0.00%   

Vanguard Total's future price is the expected price of Vanguard Total instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vanguard Total International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Vanguard Total's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Vanguard Total International. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Vanguard Total based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Vanguard Total International over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $53.0 is a CALL option contract on Vanguard Total's common stock with a strick price of 53.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-06 at 12:34:29 for $0.8 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.7, and an ask price of $0.85. The implied volatility as of the 7th of December is 26.3. View All Vanguard options

Closest to current price Vanguard long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Also, please take a look at Vanguard Total Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Total Correlation, Vanguard Total Hype Analysis, Vanguard Total Volatility, Vanguard Total History as well as Vanguard Total Performance. Please specify Vanguard Total time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Vanguard Total odds to be computed.

Vanguard Total Target Price Odds to finish over 46.69

The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 46.69  in 90 days
 52.68 90 days 46.69 
about 82.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Total to stay above $ 46.69  in 90 days from now is about 82.75 (This Vanguard Total International probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Total Inter price to stay between $ 46.69  and its current price of $52.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.28 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vanguard Total has a beta of 0.95. This entails Vanguard Total International market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vanguard Total is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0252, implying that it can generate a 0.0252 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vanguard Total Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Total

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Total Inter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Total's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vanguard Total in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
51.2952.8554.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
50.4952.0553.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
51.0352.5954.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
47.6051.3855.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vanguard Total. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vanguard Total's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vanguard Total's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vanguard Total Inter.

Vanguard Total Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Total is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Total's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Total International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Total within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.025204
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.95
σ
Overall volatility
2.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.014234

Vanguard Total Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Total for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Total Inter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vanguard Total Inter has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Vanguard Total Inter created five year return of 0.0%
This fund keeps 97.19% of its net assets in stocks

Vanguard Total Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vanguard Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vanguard Total's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vanguard Total's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.76M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.25M

Vanguard Total Technical Analysis

Vanguard Total's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Total International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vanguard Total Predictive Forecast Models

Vanguard Total time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Total's etf analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Vanguard Total's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vanguard Total Inter

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Total Inter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vanguard Total Inter has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Vanguard Total Inter created five year return of 0.0%
This fund keeps 97.19% of its net assets in stocks
Also, please take a look at Vanguard Total Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Total Correlation, Vanguard Total Hype Analysis, Vanguard Total Volatility, Vanguard Total History as well as Vanguard Total Performance. You can also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Vanguard Total Inter price analysis, check to measure Vanguard Total's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vanguard Total is operating at the current time. Most of Vanguard Total's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vanguard Total's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vanguard Total's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vanguard Total to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Go
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Go
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Go
Commodity Channel Index
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Go
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Go
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
The market value of Vanguard Total Inter is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Total's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Total's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Total's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Total's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Total's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Vanguard Total value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Total's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.