# Vertex Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.0

VTNR | Stock | ## USD 7.26 0.53 7.88% |

Vertex |

### Closest to current price Vertex long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Also, please take a look at Vertex Energy Backtesting, Vertex Energy Valuation, Vertex Energy Correlation, Vertex Energy Hype Analysis, Vertex Energy Volatility, Vertex Energy History as well as Vertex Energy Performance. Please specify Vertex Energy time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Vertex Energy odds to be computed.

## Vertex Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 14.0

The tendency of Vertex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.

Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 14.00 or more in 90 days |

7.26 | 90 days | 14.00 | roughly 2.06 |

Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vertex Energy to move over $ 14.00 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.06 (This Vertex Energy probability density function shows the probability of Vertex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vertex Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 7.26 and $ 14.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.46 .

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.75 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vertex Energy will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Vertex Energy is significantly underperforming DOW. Vertex Energy Price Density |

Price |

## Predictive Modules for Vertex Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vertex Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vertex Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vertex Energy in the context of predictive analytics.

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vertex Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vertex Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vertex Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vertex Energy.

## Vertex Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vertex Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vertex Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vertex Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vertex Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over DOW | -0.2 | |

β | Beta against DOW | 1.75 | |

σ | Overall volatility | 2.38 | |

Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |

## Vertex Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vertex Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vertex Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Vertex Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |

Vertex Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 130.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (44.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.06 M. | |

Vertex Energy currently holds about 24.05 M in cash with (5.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.37. | |

Roughly 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |

Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: VERTEX ENERGY INC. Regulation FD Disclosure, Financial Statements and Exhibits - Marketscreener.com |

## Vertex Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vertex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vertex Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vertex Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Shares Percent Shares Out | 19.75% | |

Short Percent Of Float | 22.32% | |

Float Shares | 50.46M | |

Shares Short Prior Month | 9.83M | |

Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 3.39M | |

Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 3.95M | |

Date Short Interest | 15th of July 2022 |

## Vertex Energy Technical Analysis

Vertex Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vertex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vertex Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vertex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cycle Indicators | ||

Math Operators | ||

Math Transform | ||

Momentum Indicators | ||

Overlap Studies | ||

Pattern Recognition | ||

Price Transform | ||

Statistic Functions | ||

Volatility Indicators | ||

Volume Indicators |

## Vertex Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Vertex Energy time-series forecasting models is one of many Vertex Energy's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Vertex Energy's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

## Things to note about Vertex Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vertex Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vertex Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Vertex Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |

Vertex Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 130.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (44.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.06 M. | |

Vertex Energy currently holds about 24.05 M in cash with (5.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.37. | |

Roughly 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |

Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: VERTEX ENERGY INC. Regulation FD Disclosure, Financial Statements and Exhibits - Marketscreener.com |

Also, please take a look at Vertex Energy Backtesting, Vertex Energy Valuation, Vertex Energy Correlation, Vertex Energy Hype Analysis, Vertex Energy Volatility, Vertex Energy History as well as Vertex Energy Performance. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

## Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Vertex Energy price analysis, check to measure Vertex Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vertex Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vertex Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vertex Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vertex Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vertex Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is Vertex Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vertex Energy. If investors know Vertex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vertex Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Vertex Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vertex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vertex Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vertex Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vertex Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vertex Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vertex Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Vertex Energy value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vertex Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.