Verisk Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 226.67

VRSK
 Stock
  

USD 183.71  6.78  3.83%   

Verisk Analytics' future price is the expected price of Verisk Analytics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Verisk Analytics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Verisk Analytics Price to Book Value is increasing as compared to previous years. The preceding year's Price to Book Value was reported at 9.18. The current Price to Earnings Ratio is estimated to increase to 30.13, while Price to Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 5.90.
  
Verisk Analytics' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Verisk Analytics. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Verisk Analytics based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Verisk Analytics over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $185.0 is a CALL option contract on Verisk Analytics' common stock with a strick price of 185.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-21 at 15:46:21 for $2.7 and, as of today, has 15 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.65, and an ask price of $4.0. The implied volatility as of the 1st of December is 25.7001. View All Verisk options

Closest to current price Verisk long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Also, please take a look at Verisk Analytics Backtesting, Verisk Analytics Valuation, Verisk Analytics Correlation, Verisk Analytics Hype Analysis, Verisk Analytics Volatility, Verisk Analytics History as well as Verisk Analytics Performance. Please specify Verisk Analytics time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Verisk Analytics odds to be computed.

Verisk Analytics Target Price Odds to finish over 226.67

The tendency of Verisk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 226.67  or more in 90 days
 183.71 90 days 226.67 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Verisk Analytics to move over $ 226.67  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Verisk Analytics probability density function shows the probability of Verisk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Verisk Analytics price to stay between its current price of $ 183.71  and $ 226.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.87 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This entails Verisk Analytics market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Verisk Analytics is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Verisk Analytics is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Verisk Analytics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Verisk Analytics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verisk Analytics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Verisk Analytics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Verisk Analytics in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
181.48183.61185.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
165.34195.08197.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
183.02185.15187.28
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
177.00226.67255.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Verisk Analytics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Verisk Analytics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Verisk Analytics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Verisk Analytics.

Verisk Analytics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Verisk Analytics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Verisk Analytics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Verisk Analytics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Verisk Analytics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.1
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.05
σ
Overall volatility
7.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Verisk Analytics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Verisk Analytics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Verisk Analytics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company currently holds 2.34 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.58, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Verisk Analytics has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Verisk Analytics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Verisk Analytics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Verisk Analytics sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Verisk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Verisk Analytics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 94.0% of Verisk Analytics outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Transcript Verisk Analytics, Inc. Presents at JP Morgan Ultimate Services Conference, Nov-17-2022 1110 AM - Marketscreener.com

Verisk Analytics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Verisk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Verisk Analytics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verisk Analytics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding163338909.00
Cash And Short Term Investments280300000.00

Verisk Analytics Technical Analysis

Verisk Analytics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Verisk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Verisk Analytics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Verisk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Verisk Analytics Predictive Forecast Models

Verisk Analytics time-series forecasting models is one of many Verisk Analytics' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Verisk Analytics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Verisk Analytics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Verisk Analytics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Verisk Analytics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company currently holds 2.34 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.58, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Verisk Analytics has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Verisk Analytics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Verisk Analytics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Verisk Analytics sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Verisk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Verisk Analytics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 94.0% of Verisk Analytics outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Transcript Verisk Analytics, Inc. Presents at JP Morgan Ultimate Services Conference, Nov-17-2022 1110 AM - Marketscreener.com
Also, please take a look at Verisk Analytics Backtesting, Verisk Analytics Valuation, Verisk Analytics Correlation, Verisk Analytics Hype Analysis, Verisk Analytics Volatility, Verisk Analytics History as well as Verisk Analytics Performance. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Verisk Analytics price analysis, check to measure Verisk Analytics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Verisk Analytics is operating at the current time. Most of Verisk Analytics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Verisk Analytics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Verisk Analytics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Verisk Analytics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Verisk Analytics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Verisk Analytics. If investors know Verisk will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Verisk Analytics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.032) 
Market Capitalization
27.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.018) 
Return On Assets
0.0997
Return On Equity
0.44
The market value of Verisk Analytics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Verisk that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Verisk Analytics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Verisk Analytics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Verisk Analytics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Verisk Analytics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verisk Analytics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Verisk Analytics value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verisk Analytics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.