Vroom Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.58

VRM
 Stock
  

USD 1.18  0.02  1.72%   

Vroom's future price is the expected price of Vroom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vroom Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Vroom's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Vroom Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Vroom based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Vroom Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $1.0 is a CALL option contract on Vroom's common stock with a strick price of 1.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-02 at 15:11:27 for $0.18 and, as of today, has 12 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.15, and an ask price of $0.25. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 89.4457. View All Vroom options

Closest to current price Vroom long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Also, please take a look at Vroom Backtesting, Vroom Valuation, Vroom Correlation, Vroom Hype Analysis, Vroom Volatility, Vroom History as well as Vroom Performance. Please specify Vroom time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Vroom odds to be computed.

Vroom Target Price Odds to finish below 1.58

The tendency of Vroom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 1.58  after 90 days
 1.18 90 days 1.58 
about 89.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vroom to stay under $ 1.58  after 90 days from now is about 89.74 (This Vroom Inc probability density function shows the probability of Vroom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vroom Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 1.18  and $ 1.58  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.39 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.77 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vroom will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Vroom Inc is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Vroom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vroom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vroom Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vroom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vroom in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.061.187.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.051.076.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vroom. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vroom's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vroom's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vroom Inc.

Vroom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vroom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vroom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vroom Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vroom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.53
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.77
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Vroom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vroom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vroom Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vroom Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vroom Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Vroom Inc may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.18 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (370.91 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 202.1 M.
Vroom Inc has about 546.07 M in cash with (568.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.95, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Vroom Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vroom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vroom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vroom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding73345569.00
Cash And Short Term Investments1132325000.00

Vroom Technical Analysis

Vroom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vroom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vroom Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vroom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vroom Predictive Forecast Models

Vroom time-series forecasting models is one of many Vroom's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Vroom's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vroom Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vroom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vroom Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vroom Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vroom Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Vroom Inc may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.18 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (370.91 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 202.1 M.
Vroom Inc has about 546.07 M in cash with (568.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.95, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Also, please take a look at Vroom Backtesting, Vroom Valuation, Vroom Correlation, Vroom Hype Analysis, Vroom Volatility, Vroom History as well as Vroom Performance. You can also try Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Vroom Inc price analysis, check to measure Vroom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vroom is operating at the current time. Most of Vroom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vroom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vroom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vroom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vroom's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vroom. If investors know Vroom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vroom listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
160.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.62) 
Return On Assets
(0.12) 
Return On Equity
(0.82) 
The market value of Vroom Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vroom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vroom's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vroom's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vroom's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vroom's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vroom's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Vroom value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vroom's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.