Vornado Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.29

VNO
 Stock
  

USD 25.29  0.95  3.90%   

Vornado Realty's future price is the expected price of Vornado Realty instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vornado Realty Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to rise to 27.75 this year, although Price to Book Value will most likely fall to 2.32.
  
Vornado Realty's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Vornado Realty Trust. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Vornado Realty based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Vornado Realty Trust over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $25.0 is a CALL option contract on Vornado Realty's common stock with a strick price of 25.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-02 at 12:32:32 for $0.4 and, as of today, has 13 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.35, and an ask price of $0.4. The implied volatility as of the 3rd of December is 37.3372. View All Vornado options

Closest to current price Vornado long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Also, please take a look at Vornado Realty Backtesting, Vornado Realty Valuation, Vornado Realty Correlation, Vornado Realty Hype Analysis, Vornado Realty Volatility, Vornado Realty History as well as Vornado Realty Performance. Please specify Vornado Realty time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Vornado Realty odds to be computed.

Vornado Realty Target Price Odds to finish over 25.29

The tendency of Vornado Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.29 90 days 25.29 
about 19.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vornado Realty to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.37 (This Vornado Realty Trust probability density function shows the probability of Vornado Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.42 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vornado Realty will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Vornado Realty Trust is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Vornado Realty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vornado Realty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vornado Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vornado Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vornado Realty in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
22.3525.2528.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
22.7630.2633.16
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
36.0045.7852.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.722.792.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vornado Realty. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vornado Realty's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vornado Realty's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vornado Realty Trust.

Vornado Realty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vornado Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vornado Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vornado Realty Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vornado Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.18
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.42
σ
Overall volatility
1.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Vornado Realty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vornado Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vornado Realty Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vornado Realty Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vornado Realty Trust has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 18th of November 2022 Vornado Realty paid $ 0.53 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Vornado Realty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vornado Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vornado Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vornado Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding192122000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments1760225000.00

Vornado Realty Technical Analysis

Vornado Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vornado Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vornado Realty Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vornado Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vornado Realty Predictive Forecast Models

Vornado Realty time-series forecasting models is one of many Vornado Realty's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Vornado Realty's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vornado Realty Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vornado Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vornado Realty Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vornado Realty Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vornado Realty Trust has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 18th of November 2022 Vornado Realty paid $ 0.53 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Also, please take a look at Vornado Realty Backtesting, Vornado Realty Valuation, Vornado Realty Correlation, Vornado Realty Hype Analysis, Vornado Realty Volatility, Vornado Realty History as well as Vornado Realty Performance. You can also try Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

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When running Vornado Realty Trust price analysis, check to measure Vornado Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vornado Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Vornado Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vornado Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vornado Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vornado Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vornado Realty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vornado Realty. If investors know Vornado will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vornado Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.80) 
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.11
Return On Assets
0.0142
Return On Equity
0.0237
The market value of Vornado Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vornado that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vornado Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vornado Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vornado Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vornado Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vornado Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Vornado Realty value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vornado Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.