VISA INC (Brazil) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0

VISA INC's future price is the expected price of VISA INC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VISA INC DRN performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
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VISA INC Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0

The tendency of VISA34 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above R$ 0.00  in 90 days
 47.90 90 days 0.00 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VISA INC to stay above R$ 0.00  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This VISA INC DRN probability density function shows the probability of VISA34 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VISA INC DRN price to stay between R$ 0.00  and its current price of R$47.9 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VISA INC has a beta of 0.53. This entails as returns on the market go up, VISA INC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VISA INC DRN will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. VISA INC DRN is significantly underperforming DOW.
   VISA INC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VISA INC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VISA INC DRN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of VISA INC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of VISA INC in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.001.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.001.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
45.1946.9648.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
47.3850.8154.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VISA INC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VISA INC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VISA INC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in VISA INC DRN.

VISA INC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VISA INC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VISA INC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VISA INC DRN, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VISA INC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.08
β
Beta against DOW0.53
σ
Overall volatility
2.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

VISA INC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VISA34 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VISA INC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VISA INC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.26
Float Shares32.67B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day13.21k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month42.88k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.64%

VISA INC Technical Analysis

VISA INC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VISA34 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VISA INC DRN. In general, you should focus on analyzing VISA34 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VISA INC Predictive Forecast Models

VISA INC time-series forecasting models is one of many VISA INC's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary VISA INC's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VISA INC DRN

Checking the ongoing alerts about VISA INC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VISA INC DRN help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VISA INC DRN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Also, please take a look at VISA INC Backtesting, VISA INC Valuation, VISA INC Correlation, VISA INC Hype Analysis, VISA INC Volatility, VISA INC History as well as VISA INC Performance. Note that the VISA INC DRN information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other VISA INC's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Tools for VISA34 Stock

When running VISA INC DRN price analysis, check to measure VISA INC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VISA INC is operating at the current time. Most of VISA INC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VISA INC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VISA INC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VISA INC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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