Dividend Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 173.75

VIG
 Etf
  

USD 138.59  3.43  2.54%   

Dividend Appreciation's future price is the expected price of Dividend Appreciation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dividend Appreciation ETF performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Dividend Appreciation's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Dividend Appreciation ETF. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Dividend Appreciation based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Dividend Appreciation ETF over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $139.0 is a CALL option contract on Dividend Appreciation's common stock with a strick price of 139.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-30 at 13:50:54 for $1.95 and, as of today, has 18 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.45, and an ask price of $1.85. The implied volatility as of the 3rd of October is 25.0081. View All Dividend options

Closest to current price Dividend long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Also, please take a look at Dividend Appreciation Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Dividend Appreciation Correlation, Dividend Appreciation Hype Analysis, Dividend Appreciation Volatility, Dividend Appreciation History as well as Dividend Appreciation Performance. Please specify Dividend Appreciation time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Dividend Appreciation odds to be computed.

Dividend Appreciation Target Price Odds to finish over 173.75

The tendency of Dividend Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 173.75  or more in 90 days
 138.59 90 days 173.75 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dividend Appreciation to move over $ 173.75  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dividend Appreciation ETF probability density function shows the probability of Dividend Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dividend Appreciation ETF price to stay between its current price of $ 138.59  and $ 173.75  at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.14 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Dividend Appreciation has a beta of 0.96. This entails Dividend Appreciation ETF market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Dividend Appreciation is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0248, implying that it can generate a 0.0248 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dividend Appreciation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dividend Appreciation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dividend Appreciation ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dividend Appreciation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Dividend Appreciation in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
137.30138.44139.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
124.55140.55141.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dividend Appreciation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dividend Appreciation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dividend Appreciation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Dividend Appreciation ETF.

Dividend Appreciation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dividend Appreciation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dividend Appreciation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dividend Appreciation ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dividend Appreciation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.024773
β
Beta against DOW0.96
σ
Overall volatility
5.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.02661

Dividend Appreciation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dividend Appreciation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dividend Appreciation ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dividend Appreciation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dividend Appreciation is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 22nd of September 2022 Dividend Appreciation paid $ 0.715 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund keeps 99.85% of its net assets in stocks

Dividend Appreciation Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dividend Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dividend Appreciation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dividend Appreciation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.11M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.47M

Dividend Appreciation Technical Analysis

Dividend Appreciation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dividend Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dividend Appreciation ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dividend Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dividend Appreciation Predictive Forecast Models

Dividend Appreciation time-series forecasting models is one of many Dividend Appreciation's etf analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Dividend Appreciation's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dividend Appreciation ETF

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dividend Appreciation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dividend Appreciation ETF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dividend Appreciation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dividend Appreciation is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 22nd of September 2022 Dividend Appreciation paid $ 0.715 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund keeps 99.85% of its net assets in stocks
Also, please take a look at Dividend Appreciation Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Dividend Appreciation Correlation, Dividend Appreciation Hype Analysis, Dividend Appreciation Volatility, Dividend Appreciation History as well as Dividend Appreciation Performance. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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When running Dividend Appreciation ETF price analysis, check to measure Dividend Appreciation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dividend Appreciation is operating at the current time. Most of Dividend Appreciation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dividend Appreciation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dividend Appreciation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dividend Appreciation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Dividend Appreciation ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dividend that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dividend Appreciation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dividend Appreciation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dividend Appreciation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dividend Appreciation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dividend Appreciation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Dividend Appreciation value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dividend Appreciation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.