VF Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.67

VFC
 Stock
  

USD 28.67  0.30  1.04%   

VF's future price is the expected price of VF instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VF Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of December 9, 2022, Price to Book Value is expected to decline to 2.71. In addition to that, Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to decline to 13.67.
  
VF's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on VF Corporation. Implied volatility approximates the future value of VF based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in VF Corporation over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-09 CALL at $29.0 is a CALL option contract on VF's common stock with a strick price of 29.0 expiring on 2022-12-09. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-08 at 15:00:13 for $0.05 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.0, and an ask price of $0.1. The implied volatility as of the 9th of December is 27.7274. View All VF options

Closest to current price VF long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Also, please take a look at VF Backtesting, VF Valuation, VF Correlation, VF Hype Analysis, VF Volatility, VF History as well as VF Performance. Please specify VF time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like VF odds to be computed.

VF Target Price Odds to finish over 28.67

The tendency of VF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 28.67 90 days 28.67 
about 78.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VF to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.7 (This VF Corporation probability density function shows the probability of VF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.64 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, VF will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. VF Corporation is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   VF Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VF

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VF Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of VF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of VF in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
24.7128.3531.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
25.8041.9745.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
22.0525.6929.32
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
72.0086.47100.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VF. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VF's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VF's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in VF Corporation.

VF Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VF Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.61
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.64
σ
Overall volatility
4.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

VF Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VF for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VF Corporation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VF Corporation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
VF Corporation has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from Macroaxis: Are VF weak technical and fundamental indicators contributing to the current slip

VF Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VF's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VF's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding392411000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments1275943000.00

VF Technical Analysis

VF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VF Corporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing VF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VF Predictive Forecast Models

VF time-series forecasting models is one of many VF's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary VF's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VF Corporation

Checking the ongoing alerts about VF for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VF Corporation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VF Corporation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
VF Corporation has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from Macroaxis: Are VF weak technical and fundamental indicators contributing to the current slip
Also, please take a look at VF Backtesting, VF Valuation, VF Correlation, VF Hype Analysis, VF Volatility, VF History as well as VF Performance. Note that the VF Corporation information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other VF's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for VF Stock analysis

When running VF Corporation price analysis, check to measure VF's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VF is operating at the current time. Most of VF's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VF's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VF's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VF to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Go
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Go
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Go
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Go
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Go
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Go
Is VF's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VF. If investors know VF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VF listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of VF Corporation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VF's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VF's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VF's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VF's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VF's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine VF value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VF's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.