United Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 46.72

UNFI
 Stock
  

USD 46.72  1.27  2.79%   

United Natural's future price is the expected price of United Natural instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of United Natural Foods performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current Price to Book Value is estimated to increase to 2.95. The current Price to Earnings Ratio is estimated to increase to 27.11.
  
United Natural's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on United Natural Foods. Implied volatility approximates the future value of United Natural based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in United Natural Foods over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $45.0 is a CALL option contract on United Natural's common stock with a strick price of 45.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-02 at 14:40:55 for $3.0 and, as of today, has 12 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $3.2, and an ask price of $3.4. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 66.7223. View All United options

Closest to current price United long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Also, please take a look at United Natural Backtesting, United Natural Valuation, United Natural Correlation, United Natural Hype Analysis, United Natural Volatility, United Natural History as well as United Natural Performance. Please specify United Natural time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like United Natural odds to be computed.

United Natural Target Price Odds to finish over 46.72

The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 46.72 90 days 46.72 
about 9.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Natural to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.06 (This United Natural Foods probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days United Natural has a beta of 0.93. This usually implies United Natural Foods market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, United Natural is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0135, implying that it can generate a 0.0135 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   United Natural Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for United Natural

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Natural Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Natural's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of United Natural in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
43.0345.3047.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
45.0847.3549.62
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
36.0051.7167.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.104.184.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as United Natural. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against United Natural's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, United Natural's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in United Natural Foods.

United Natural Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Natural is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Natural's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Natural Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Natural within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.013491
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.93
σ
Overall volatility
3.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.003136

United Natural Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Natural for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Natural Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: US Foods announces Dave Flitman as CEO - Nations Restaurant News

United Natural Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Natural's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Natural's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments44000000.00

United Natural Technical Analysis

United Natural's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Natural Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

United Natural Predictive Forecast Models

United Natural time-series forecasting models is one of many United Natural's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary United Natural's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about United Natural Foods

Checking the ongoing alerts about United Natural for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Natural Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: US Foods announces Dave Flitman as CEO - Nations Restaurant News
Also, please take a look at United Natural Backtesting, United Natural Valuation, United Natural Correlation, United Natural Hype Analysis, United Natural Volatility, United Natural History as well as United Natural Performance. Note that the United Natural Foods information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other United Natural's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for United Stock analysis

When running United Natural Foods price analysis, check to measure United Natural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Natural is operating at the current time. Most of United Natural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Natural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Natural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Natural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is United Natural's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Natural. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Natural listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.1) 
Market Capitalization
2.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.08
Return On Assets
0.0328
Return On Equity
0.15
The market value of United Natural Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Natural's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Natural's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Natural's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Natural's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Natural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine United Natural value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Natural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.