Unisys Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.64

UIS
 Stock
  

USD 7.64  0.06  0.78%   

Unisys Corp's future price is the expected price of Unisys Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Unisys Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Unisys Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Unisys Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Unisys Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Unisys Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $8.0 is a CALL option contract on Unisys Corp's common stock with a strick price of 8.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 0000-00-00 at 00:00:00 for $0.25 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.2, and an ask price of $0.35. The implied volatility as of the 29th of September is 61.868. View All Unisys options

Closest to current price Unisys long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Also, please take a look at Unisys Corp Backtesting, Unisys Corp Valuation, Unisys Corp Correlation, Unisys Corp Hype Analysis, Unisys Corp Volatility, Unisys Corp History as well as Unisys Corp Performance. Please specify Unisys Corp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Unisys Corp odds to be computed.

Unisys Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 7.64

The tendency of Unisys Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.64 90 days 7.64 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Unisys Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Unisys Corp probability density function shows the probability of Unisys Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.18 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Unisys Corp will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Unisys Corp is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Unisys Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Unisys Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unisys Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Unisys Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Unisys Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
2.495.829.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.6814.2817.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.966.299.62
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
35.0035.0035.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Unisys Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Unisys Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Unisys Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Unisys Corp.

Unisys Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Unisys Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Unisys Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Unisys Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Unisys Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.57
β
Beta against DOW1.18
σ
Overall volatility
1.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Unisys Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Unisys Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Unisys Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Unisys Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Unisys Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Unisys Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.99 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (348 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 577.1 M.
Over 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Investors one-year losses grow to 71 percent as the stock sheds US66m this past week - Simply Wall St

Unisys Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Unisys Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Unisys Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unisys Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.96%
Short Percent Of Float7.30%
Float Shares65.72M
Shares Short Prior Month2.37M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day514.61k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month363.34k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Unisys Corp Technical Analysis

Unisys Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Unisys Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Unisys Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Unisys Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Unisys Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Unisys Corp time-series forecasting models is one of many Unisys Corp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Unisys Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Unisys Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Unisys Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Unisys Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Unisys Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Unisys Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Unisys Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.99 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (348 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 577.1 M.
Over 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Investors one-year losses grow to 71 percent as the stock sheds US66m this past week - Simply Wall St
Also, please take a look at Unisys Corp Backtesting, Unisys Corp Valuation, Unisys Corp Correlation, Unisys Corp Hype Analysis, Unisys Corp Volatility, Unisys Corp History as well as Unisys Corp Performance. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Unisys Corp price analysis, check to measure Unisys Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Unisys Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Unisys Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Unisys Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Unisys Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Unisys Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Unisys Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Unisys Corp. If investors know Unisys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Unisys Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Unisys Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Unisys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Unisys Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Unisys Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Unisys Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Unisys Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Unisys Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Unisys Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Unisys Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.