Tesla Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 179.82

TSLA
 Stock
  

USD 179.82  2.63  1.44%   

Tesla's future price is the expected price of Tesla instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tesla Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 10.35, whereas Price to Book Value is forecasted to decline to 23.80.
  
Tesla's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Tesla Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Tesla based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Tesla Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-09 CALL at $180.0 is a CALL option contract on Tesla's common stock with a strick price of 180.0 expiring on 2022-12-09. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-05 at 15:59:56 for $6.5 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $6.45, and an ask price of $6.55. The implied volatility as of the 6th of December is 78.6025. View All Tesla options

Closest to current price Tesla long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, take a look at Tesla Backtesting, Tesla Valuation, Tesla Correlation, Tesla Hype Analysis, Tesla Volatility, Tesla History as well as Tesla Performance. Please specify Tesla time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Tesla odds to be computed.

Tesla Target Price Odds to finish over 179.82

The tendency of Tesla Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 179.82 90 days 179.82 
about 89.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tesla to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.02 (This Tesla Inc probability density function shows the probability of Tesla Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.5 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tesla will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Tesla Inc is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Tesla Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tesla

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tesla Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tesla's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Tesla in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
161.83165.67196.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
160.57356.68360.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
205.88209.72213.56
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
159.00907.541,580
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tesla. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tesla's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tesla's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Tesla Inc.

Tesla Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tesla is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tesla's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tesla Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tesla within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.68
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.50
σ
Overall volatility
43.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Tesla Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tesla for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tesla Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tesla Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tesla Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from Macroaxis: Are Tesla weak essential indicators contributing to the current slip

Tesla Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tesla Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tesla's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tesla's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1033507611.00
Cash And Short Term Investments17707000000.00

Tesla Technical Analysis

Tesla's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tesla Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tesla Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tesla Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tesla Predictive Forecast Models

Tesla time-series forecasting models is one of many Tesla's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Tesla's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tesla Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tesla for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tesla Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tesla Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tesla Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from Macroaxis: Are Tesla weak essential indicators contributing to the current slip
Additionally, take a look at Tesla Backtesting, Tesla Valuation, Tesla Correlation, Tesla Hype Analysis, Tesla Volatility, Tesla History as well as Tesla Performance. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Tesla Inc price analysis, check to measure Tesla's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tesla is operating at the current time. Most of Tesla's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tesla's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tesla's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tesla to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tesla's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tesla. If investors know Tesla will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tesla listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.98
Market Capitalization
615.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.56
Return On Assets
0.12
Return On Equity
0.32
The market value of Tesla Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tesla that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tesla's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tesla's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tesla's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tesla's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tesla's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Tesla value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tesla's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.