Tor Minerals OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 2.8

TORM
 Stock
  

USD 2.40  0.15  6.67%   

Tor Minerals' future price is the expected price of Tor Minerals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tor Minerals Intl performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
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Additionally, take a look at Tor Minerals Backtesting, Tor Minerals Valuation, Tor Minerals Correlation, Tor Minerals Hype Analysis, Tor Minerals Volatility, Tor Minerals History as well as Tor Minerals Performance. Please specify Tor Minerals time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Tor Minerals odds to be computed.
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Tor Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over 2.8

The tendency of Tor Minerals OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 2.80  or more in 90 days
 2.40 90 days 2.80  about 38.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tor Minerals to move over $ 2.80  or more in 90 days from now is about 38.75 (This Tor Minerals Intl probability density function shows the probability of Tor Minerals OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tor Minerals Intl price to stay between its current price of $ 2.40  and $ 2.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.67 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tor Minerals Intl has a beta of -0.15. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Tor Minerals are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Tor Minerals Intl is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Tor Minerals Intl is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Tor Minerals Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Tor Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tor Minerals Intl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tor Minerals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Tor Minerals in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.122.398.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.102.088.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.052.558.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.702.453.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tor Minerals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tor Minerals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tor Minerals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Tor Minerals Intl.

Tor Minerals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tor Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tor Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tor Minerals Intl, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tor Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.12
β
Beta against DOW-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.015457

Tor Minerals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tor Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tor Minerals Intl can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tor Minerals Intl generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tor Minerals Intl has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 39.43 M. Net Loss for the year was (847 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.98 M.
Tor Minerals Intl currently holds about 3.61 M in cash with (220 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02.

Tor Minerals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tor Minerals OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tor Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tor Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.04%
Float Shares2.41M
Shares Short Prior Month2.16k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day180
Average Daily Volume In Three Month586
Date Short Interest31st of January 2018

Tor Minerals Technical Analysis

Tor Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tor Minerals OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tor Minerals Intl. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tor Minerals OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tor Minerals Predictive Forecast Models

Tor Minerals time-series forecasting models is one of many Tor Minerals' otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Tor Minerals' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tor Minerals Intl

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tor Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tor Minerals Intl help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Tor Minerals Alerts

Tor Minerals Alerts and Suggestions

Tor Minerals Intl generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tor Minerals Intl has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 39.43 M. Net Loss for the year was (847 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.98 M.
Tor Minerals Intl currently holds about 3.61 M in cash with (220 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02.
Additionally, take a look at Tor Minerals Backtesting, Tor Minerals Valuation, Tor Minerals Correlation, Tor Minerals Hype Analysis, Tor Minerals Volatility, Tor Minerals History as well as Tor Minerals Performance. Note that the Tor Minerals Intl information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Tor Minerals' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Tor Minerals OTC Stock analysis

When running Tor Minerals Intl price analysis, check to measure Tor Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tor Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Tor Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tor Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tor Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tor Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tor Minerals' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tor Minerals. If investors know Tor Minerals will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tor Minerals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
8.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.1
Return On Assets
0.003
Return On Equity
-0.03
The market value of Tor Minerals Intl is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tor Minerals that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tor Minerals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tor Minerals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tor Minerals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tor Minerals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tor Minerals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Tor Minerals value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tor Minerals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.