STADION Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.57

STTCX
 Fund
  

USD 10.17  0.06  0.59%   

STADION TRILOGY's future price is the expected price of STADION TRILOGY instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of STADION TRILOGY ALTERNATIVE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, take a look at STADION TRILOGY Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, STADION TRILOGY Correlation, STADION TRILOGY Hype Analysis, STADION TRILOGY Volatility, STADION TRILOGY History as well as STADION TRILOGY Performance. Please specify STADION TRILOGY time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like STADION TRILOGY odds to be computed.

STADION TRILOGY Target Price Odds to finish below 10.57

The tendency of STADION Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 10.57  after 90 days
 10.17 90 days 10.57 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STADION TRILOGY to stay under $ 10.57  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This STADION TRILOGY ALTERNATIVE probability density function shows the probability of STADION Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of STADION TRILOGY ALTE price to stay between its current price of $ 10.17  and $ 10.57  at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon STADION TRILOGY has a beta of 0.0196. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, STADION TRILOGY average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding STADION TRILOGY ALTERNATIVE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. STADION TRILOGY ALTE is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   STADION TRILOGY Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for STADION TRILOGY

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STADION TRILOGY ALTE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of STADION TRILOGY's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of STADION TRILOGY in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.7910.1710.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.7910.1710.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as STADION TRILOGY. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against STADION TRILOGY's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, STADION TRILOGY's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in STADION TRILOGY ALTE.

STADION TRILOGY Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STADION TRILOGY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STADION TRILOGY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STADION TRILOGY ALTERNATIVE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STADION TRILOGY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.0196
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

STADION TRILOGY Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of STADION TRILOGY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STADION TRILOGY ALTE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STADION TRILOGY ALTE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
STADION TRILOGY ALTE is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
STADION TRILOGY ALTE maintains about 5.88% of its assets in cash

STADION TRILOGY Technical Analysis

STADION TRILOGY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STADION Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STADION TRILOGY ALTERNATIVE. In general, you should focus on analyzing STADION Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

STADION TRILOGY Predictive Forecast Models

STADION TRILOGY time-series forecasting models is one of many STADION TRILOGY's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary STADION TRILOGY's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about STADION TRILOGY ALTE

Checking the ongoing alerts about STADION TRILOGY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STADION TRILOGY ALTE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STADION TRILOGY ALTE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
STADION TRILOGY ALTE is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
STADION TRILOGY ALTE maintains about 5.88% of its assets in cash
Additionally, take a look at STADION TRILOGY Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, STADION TRILOGY Correlation, STADION TRILOGY Hype Analysis, STADION TRILOGY Volatility, STADION TRILOGY History as well as STADION TRILOGY Performance. Note that the STADION TRILOGY ALTE information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other STADION TRILOGY's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

Complementary Tools for STADION Mutual Fund analysis

When running STADION TRILOGY ALTE price analysis, check to measure STADION TRILOGY's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy STADION TRILOGY is operating at the current time. Most of STADION TRILOGY's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of STADION TRILOGY's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move STADION TRILOGY's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of STADION TRILOGY to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between STADION TRILOGY's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine STADION TRILOGY value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, STADION TRILOGY's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.