STRALEM Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 24.17

STRAX
 Fund
  

USD 24.17  0.10  0.41%   

STRALEM EQUITY's future price is the expected price of STRALEM EQUITY instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of STRALEM EQUITY FUND performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, take a look at STRALEM EQUITY Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, STRALEM EQUITY Correlation, STRALEM EQUITY Hype Analysis, STRALEM EQUITY Volatility, STRALEM EQUITY History as well as STRALEM EQUITY Performance. Please specify STRALEM EQUITY time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like STRALEM EQUITY odds to be computed.

STRALEM EQUITY Target Price Odds to finish over 24.17

The tendency of STRALEM Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.17 90 days 24.17 
nearly 4.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STRALEM EQUITY to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.3 (This STRALEM EQUITY FUND probability density function shows the probability of STRALEM Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon STRALEM EQUITY has a beta of 0.0037. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, STRALEM EQUITY average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding STRALEM EQUITY FUND will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.11, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   STRALEM EQUITY Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for STRALEM EQUITY

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STRALEM EQUITY FUND. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of STRALEM EQUITY's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of STRALEM EQUITY in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
22.8424.1725.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
21.7525.8427.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as STRALEM EQUITY. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against STRALEM EQUITY's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, STRALEM EQUITY's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in STRALEM EQUITY FUND.

STRALEM EQUITY Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STRALEM EQUITY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STRALEM EQUITY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STRALEM EQUITY FUND, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STRALEM EQUITY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.0037
σ
Overall volatility
1.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.010586

STRALEM EQUITY Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of STRALEM EQUITY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STRALEM EQUITY FUND can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.54% of its assets in stocks

STRALEM EQUITY Technical Analysis

STRALEM EQUITY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STRALEM Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STRALEM EQUITY FUND. In general, you should focus on analyzing STRALEM Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

STRALEM EQUITY Predictive Forecast Models

STRALEM EQUITY time-series forecasting models is one of many STRALEM EQUITY's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary STRALEM EQUITY's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about STRALEM EQUITY FUND

Checking the ongoing alerts about STRALEM EQUITY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STRALEM EQUITY FUND help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.54% of its assets in stocks
Additionally, take a look at STRALEM EQUITY Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, STRALEM EQUITY Correlation, STRALEM EQUITY Hype Analysis, STRALEM EQUITY Volatility, STRALEM EQUITY History as well as STRALEM EQUITY Performance. Note that the STRALEM EQUITY FUND information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other STRALEM EQUITY's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Complementary Tools for STRALEM Mutual Fund analysis

When running STRALEM EQUITY FUND price analysis, check to measure STRALEM EQUITY's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy STRALEM EQUITY is operating at the current time. Most of STRALEM EQUITY's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of STRALEM EQUITY's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move STRALEM EQUITY's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of STRALEM EQUITY to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between STRALEM EQUITY's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine STRALEM EQUITY value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, STRALEM EQUITY's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.