EQUINOR OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 29.44

STOHF
 Stock
  

USD 38.02  0.57  1.52%   

EQUINOR ASA's future price is the expected price of EQUINOR ASA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of EQUINOR ASA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, take a look at EQUINOR ASA Backtesting, EQUINOR ASA Valuation, EQUINOR ASA Correlation, EQUINOR ASA Hype Analysis, EQUINOR ASA Volatility, EQUINOR ASA History as well as EQUINOR ASA Performance. Please specify EQUINOR ASA time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like EQUINOR ASA odds to be computed.

EQUINOR ASA Target Price Odds to finish below 29.44

The tendency of EQUINOR OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 29.44  or more in 90 days
 38.02 90 days 29.44 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EQUINOR ASA to drop to $ 29.44  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This EQUINOR ASA probability density function shows the probability of EQUINOR OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EQUINOR ASA price to stay between $ 29.44  and its current price of $38.02 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon EQUINOR ASA has a beta of 0.51. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, EQUINOR ASA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EQUINOR ASA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2412, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   EQUINOR ASA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for EQUINOR ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EQUINOR ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of EQUINOR ASA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of EQUINOR ASA in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
35.5038.0240.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
34.0736.5939.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EQUINOR ASA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EQUINOR ASA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EQUINOR ASA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in EQUINOR ASA.

EQUINOR ASA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EQUINOR ASA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EQUINOR ASA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EQUINOR ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EQUINOR ASA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.24
β
Beta against DOW0.51
σ
Overall volatility
1.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

EQUINOR ASA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EQUINOR ASA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EQUINOR ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: US stocks close mixed as energy stocks decline BABA, COIN rally - Kalkine Media

EQUINOR ASA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EQUINOR OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EQUINOR ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EQUINOR ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.63
Float Shares1B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day117.6k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month117.88k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.67%

EQUINOR ASA Technical Analysis

EQUINOR ASA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EQUINOR OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EQUINOR ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing EQUINOR OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

EQUINOR ASA Predictive Forecast Models

EQUINOR ASA time-series forecasting models is one of many EQUINOR ASA's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary EQUINOR ASA's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about EQUINOR ASA

Checking the ongoing alerts about EQUINOR ASA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EQUINOR ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

EQUINOR ASA Alerts

EQUINOR ASA Alerts and Suggestions

About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: US stocks close mixed as energy stocks decline BABA, COIN rally - Kalkine Media
Additionally, take a look at EQUINOR ASA Backtesting, EQUINOR ASA Valuation, EQUINOR ASA Correlation, EQUINOR ASA Hype Analysis, EQUINOR ASA Volatility, EQUINOR ASA History as well as EQUINOR ASA Performance. Note that the EQUINOR ASA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other EQUINOR ASA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for EQUINOR OTC Stock analysis

When running EQUINOR ASA price analysis, check to measure EQUINOR ASA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EQUINOR ASA is operating at the current time. Most of EQUINOR ASA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EQUINOR ASA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EQUINOR ASA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EQUINOR ASA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
Stock Screener
Find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Go
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Go
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Go
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Go
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Go
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Go
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Go
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Go
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Go
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Go
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Go
Is EQUINOR ASA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EQUINOR ASA. If investors know EQUINOR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EQUINOR ASA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
2.54
Market Capitalization
119.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.09
Return On Assets
0.27
Return On Equity
0.42
The market value of EQUINOR ASA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EQUINOR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EQUINOR ASA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EQUINOR ASA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EQUINOR ASA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EQUINOR ASA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EQUINOR ASA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine EQUINOR ASA value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EQUINOR ASA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.