Stem Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.66

STEM
 Stock
  

USD 13.69  0.42  3.17%   

Stem's future price is the expected price of Stem instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Stem Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Sales Ratio is expected to hike to 589.38 this year, although Price to Book Value will most likely fall to (161.39) .
  
Stem's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Stem Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Stem based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Stem Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-02 CALL at $13.5 is a CALL option contract on Stem's common stock with a strick price of 13.5 expiring on 2022-12-02. The contract was last traded on 0000-00-00 at 00:00:00 for $0.66 and, as of today, has 5 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.55, and an ask price of $0.65. The implied volatility as of the 27th of November is 71.1518. View All Stem options

Closest to current price Stem long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, take a look at Stem Backtesting, Stem Valuation, Stem Correlation, Stem Hype Analysis, Stem Volatility, Stem History as well as Stem Performance. Please specify Stem time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Stem odds to be computed.

Stem Target Price Odds to finish over 14.66

The tendency of Stem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 14.66  or more in 90 days
 13.69 90 days 14.66 
about 28.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stem to move over $ 14.66  or more in 90 days from now is about 28.58 (This Stem Inc probability density function shows the probability of Stem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stem Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 13.69  and $ 14.66  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.31 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.45 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Stem will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Stem Inc is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Stem Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Stem

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stem Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stem's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Stem in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.1213.6918.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
12.3218.6123.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.8714.4519.02
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
35.0035.0035.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Stem. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Stem's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Stem's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Stem Inc.

Stem Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stem is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stem's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stem Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stem within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.11
β
Beta against DOW1.45
σ
Overall volatility
1.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Stem Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stem for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stem Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stem Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Stem Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Stem Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 260.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (122.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.85 M.
Stem Inc currently holds about 293.5 M in cash with (100.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.9.
Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Stem Inc revenues up 150 percent as company targets positive EBITDA next year - Energy Storage News

Stem Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stem Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stem's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stem's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out8.78%
Short Percent Of Float9.46%
Float Shares140.57M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.35M
Shares Short Prior Month12.47M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.59M
Date Short Interest31st of October 2022

Stem Technical Analysis

Stem's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stem Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Stem Predictive Forecast Models

Stem time-series forecasting models is one of many Stem's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Stem's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Stem Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Stem for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stem Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stem Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Stem Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Stem Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 260.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (122.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.85 M.
Stem Inc currently holds about 293.5 M in cash with (100.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.9.
Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Stem Inc revenues up 150 percent as company targets positive EBITDA next year - Energy Storage News
Additionally, take a look at Stem Backtesting, Stem Valuation, Stem Correlation, Stem Hype Analysis, Stem Volatility, Stem History as well as Stem Performance. Note that the Stem Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Stem's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for Stem Stock analysis

When running Stem Inc price analysis, check to measure Stem's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stem is operating at the current time. Most of Stem's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stem's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stem's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stem to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Stem's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stem. If investors know Stem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stem listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
2.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.5
Return On Assets
(0.07) 
Return On Equity
(0.20) 
The market value of Stem Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stem that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stem's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stem's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stem's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stem's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stem's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Stem value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stem's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.