SPDR Intermediate Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 32.94

SPIB
 Etf
  

USD 32.67  0.01  0.0306%   

SPDR Intermediate's future price is the expected price of SPDR Intermediate instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SPDR Intermediate Term performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
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Additionally, take a look at SPDR Intermediate Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, SPDR Intermediate Correlation, SPDR Intermediate Hype Analysis, SPDR Intermediate Volatility, SPDR Intermediate History as well as SPDR Intermediate Performance. Please specify SPDR Intermediate time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like SPDR Intermediate odds to be computed.
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SPDR Intermediate Target Price Odds to finish below 32.94

The tendency of SPDR Intermediate Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 32.94  after 90 days
 32.67 90 days 32.94  about 49.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SPDR Intermediate to stay under $ 32.94  after 90 days from now is about 49.17 (This SPDR Intermediate Term probability density function shows the probability of SPDR Intermediate Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SPDR Intermediate Term price to stay between its current price of $ 32.67  and $ 32.94  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.49 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days SPDR Intermediate has a beta of 0.0971. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SPDR Intermediate average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SPDR Intermediate Term will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. SPDR Intermediate Term is significantly underperforming DOW.
 SPDR Intermediate Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for SPDR Intermediate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SPDR Intermediate Term. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of SPDR Intermediate's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of SPDR Intermediate in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
32.2732.6833.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
32.2832.6933.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
32.9033.3033.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.9632.5733.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SPDR Intermediate. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SPDR Intermediate's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SPDR Intermediate's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in SPDR Intermediate Term.

SPDR Intermediate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SPDR Intermediate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SPDR Intermediate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SPDR Intermediate Term, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SPDR Intermediate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.05
β
Beta against DOW0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

SPDR Intermediate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SPDR Intermediate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SPDR Intermediate Term can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SPDR Intermediate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 13.18% of its assets in bonds

SPDR Intermediate Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SPDR Intermediate Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SPDR Intermediate's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SPDR Intermediate's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day4.1M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month4.94M

SPDR Intermediate Technical Analysis

SPDR Intermediate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SPDR Intermediate Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SPDR Intermediate Term. In general, you should focus on analyzing SPDR Intermediate Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SPDR Intermediate Predictive Forecast Models

SPDR Intermediate time-series forecasting models is one of many SPDR Intermediate's etf analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary SPDR Intermediate's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SPDR Intermediate Term

Checking the ongoing alerts about SPDR Intermediate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SPDR Intermediate Term help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

SPDR Intermediate Alerts

SPDR Intermediate Alerts and Suggestions

SPDR Intermediate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 13.18% of its assets in bonds
Additionally, take a look at SPDR Intermediate Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, SPDR Intermediate Correlation, SPDR Intermediate Hype Analysis, SPDR Intermediate Volatility, SPDR Intermediate History as well as SPDR Intermediate Performance. Note that the SPDR Intermediate Term information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other SPDR Intermediate's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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The market value of SPDR Intermediate Term is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SPDR Intermediate that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SPDR Intermediate's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SPDR Intermediate's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SPDR Intermediate's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SPDR Intermediate's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SPDR Intermediate's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine SPDR Intermediate value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SPDR Intermediate's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.