SLM Corp Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.48

SLM
 Stock
  

USD 15.48  0.13  0.83%   

SLM Corp's future price is the expected price of SLM Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SLM Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
SLM Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on SLM Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of SLM Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in SLM Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $15.0 is a CALL option contract on SLM Corp's common stock with a strick price of 15.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-28 at 15:11:01 for $0.4 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.4, and an ask price of $0.55. The implied volatility as of the 5th of October is 50.1542. View All SLM Corp options

Closest to current price SLM Corp long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, take a look at SLM Corp Backtesting, SLM Corp Valuation, SLM Corp Correlation, SLM Corp Hype Analysis, SLM Corp Volatility, SLM Corp History as well as SLM Corp Performance. Please specify SLM Corp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like SLM Corp odds to be computed.

SLM Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 15.48

The tendency of SLM Corp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.48 90 days 15.48 
about 46.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SLM Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 46.13 (This SLM Corp probability density function shows the probability of SLM Corp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.38 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SLM Corp will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0056, implying that it can generate a 0.005563 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SLM Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SLM Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SLM Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of SLM Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of SLM Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
12.9115.6118.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
14.0519.3322.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.7815.4918.19
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
21.0023.1024.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SLM Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SLM Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SLM Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in SLM Corp.

SLM Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SLM Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SLM Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SLM Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SLM Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.005563
β
Beta against DOW1.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.0038

SLM Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SLM Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SLM Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SLM Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SLM Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
On 15th of September 2022 SLM Corp paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.marketbeat.com: SLM Co. Given Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy by Analysts - MarketBeat

SLM Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SLM Corp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SLM Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SLM Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.02%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.12
Short Percent Of Float3.48%
Float Shares216.56M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.05M
Shares Short Prior Month9.18M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.33M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.86%

SLM Corp Technical Analysis

SLM Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SLM Corp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SLM Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing SLM Corp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SLM Corp Predictive Forecast Models

SLM Corp time-series forecasting models is one of many SLM Corp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary SLM Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SLM Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about SLM Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SLM Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SLM Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SLM Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
On 15th of September 2022 SLM Corp paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.marketbeat.com: SLM Co. Given Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy by Analysts - MarketBeat
Additionally, take a look at SLM Corp Backtesting, SLM Corp Valuation, SLM Corp Correlation, SLM Corp Hype Analysis, SLM Corp Volatility, SLM Corp History as well as SLM Corp Performance. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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When running SLM Corp price analysis, check to measure SLM Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SLM Corp is operating at the current time. Most of SLM Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SLM Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SLM Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SLM Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is SLM Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SLM Corp. If investors know SLM Corp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SLM Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of SLM Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SLM Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SLM Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SLM Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SLM Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SLM Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SLM Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine SLM Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SLM Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.