Seagen Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 137.70

SGEN
 Stock
  

USD 137.70  0.87  0.64%   

Seagen's future price is the expected price of Seagen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Seagen Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Seagen's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Seagen Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Seagen based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Seagen Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $140.0 is a CALL option contract on Seagen's common stock with a strick price of 140.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-30 at 13:04:34 for $6.46 and, as of today, has 18 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $5.2, and an ask price of $7.6. The implied volatility as of the 3rd of October is 60.7571. View All Seagen options

Closest to current price Seagen long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, take a look at Seagen Backtesting, Seagen Valuation, Seagen Correlation, Seagen Hype Analysis, Seagen Volatility, Seagen History as well as Seagen Performance. Please specify Seagen time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Seagen odds to be computed.

Seagen Target Price Odds to finish over 137.70

The tendency of Seagen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 137.70 90 days 137.70 
over 95.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seagen to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.67 (This Seagen Inc probability density function shows the probability of Seagen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Seagen has a beta of 0.77. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Seagen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Seagen Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Seagen Inc is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Seagen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Seagen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seagen Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Seagen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Seagen in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
135.28137.03138.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
123.15141.37143.12
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
153.00182.85210.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Seagen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Seagen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Seagen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Seagen Inc.

Seagen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seagen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seagen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seagen Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seagen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.31
β
Beta against DOW0.77
σ
Overall volatility
14.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Seagen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seagen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seagen Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seagen Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.78 B. Net Loss for the year was (739.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.13 M.
Seagen Inc currently holds about 1.85 B in cash with (589.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.05.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.benzinga.com: Right Now, Youve Still Got To Avoid The Stock, Jim Cramer Says About This Aerospace Company - Alibaba - Benzinga

Seagen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seagen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seagen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seagen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.23%
Short Percent Of Float1.67%
Float Shares135.76M
Shares Short Prior Month3.32M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day977.33k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.07M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Seagen Technical Analysis

Seagen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seagen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seagen Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seagen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Seagen Predictive Forecast Models

Seagen time-series forecasting models is one of many Seagen's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Seagen's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Seagen Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Seagen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seagen Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seagen Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.78 B. Net Loss for the year was (739.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.13 M.
Seagen Inc currently holds about 1.85 B in cash with (589.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.05.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.benzinga.com: Right Now, Youve Still Got To Avoid The Stock, Jim Cramer Says About This Aerospace Company - Alibaba - Benzinga
Additionally, take a look at Seagen Backtesting, Seagen Valuation, Seagen Correlation, Seagen Hype Analysis, Seagen Volatility, Seagen History as well as Seagen Performance. Note that the Seagen Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Seagen's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for Seagen Stock analysis

When running Seagen Inc price analysis, check to measure Seagen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seagen is operating at the current time. Most of Seagen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seagen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seagen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seagen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Seagen's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seagen. If investors know Seagen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seagen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Seagen Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seagen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seagen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seagen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seagen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seagen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seagen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Seagen value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seagen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.