EAFE Small-Cap Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 54.56

SCZ
 Etf
  

USD 54.56  0.03  0.06%   

EAFE Small-Cap's future price is the expected price of EAFE Small-Cap instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of EAFE Small-Cap Ishares performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
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Additionally, take a look at EAFE Small-Cap Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, EAFE Small-Cap Correlation, EAFE Small-Cap Hype Analysis, EAFE Small-Cap Volatility, EAFE Small-Cap History as well as EAFE Small-Cap Performance. Please specify EAFE Small-Cap time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like EAFE Small-Cap odds to be computed.
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EAFE Small-Cap Target Price Odds to finish over 54.56

The tendency of EAFE Small-Cap Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 54.56 90 days 54.56  more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EAFE Small-Cap to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This EAFE Small-Cap Ishares probability density function shows the probability of EAFE Small-Cap Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon EAFE Small-Cap has a beta of 0.84. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, EAFE Small-Cap average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EAFE Small-Cap Ishares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. EAFE Small-Cap Ishares is significantly underperforming DOW.
 EAFE Small-Cap Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for EAFE Small-Cap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EAFE Small-Cap Ishares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of EAFE Small-Cap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of EAFE Small-Cap in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
53.1554.5655.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
54.3255.7357.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
55.8357.2458.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
51.7555.9960.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EAFE Small-Cap. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EAFE Small-Cap's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EAFE Small-Cap's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in EAFE Small-Cap Ishares.

EAFE Small-Cap Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EAFE Small-Cap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EAFE Small-Cap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EAFE Small-Cap Ishares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EAFE Small-Cap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.14
β
Beta against DOW0.84
σ
Overall volatility
3.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

EAFE Small-Cap Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EAFE Small-Cap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EAFE Small-Cap Ishares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EAFE Small-Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 98.38% of its assets in stocks

EAFE Small-Cap Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EAFE Small-Cap Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EAFE Small-Cap's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EAFE Small-Cap's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.11M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.04M

EAFE Small-Cap Technical Analysis

EAFE Small-Cap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EAFE Small-Cap Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EAFE Small-Cap Ishares. In general, you should focus on analyzing EAFE Small-Cap Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

EAFE Small-Cap Predictive Forecast Models

EAFE Small-Cap time-series forecasting models is one of many EAFE Small-Cap's etf analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary EAFE Small-Cap's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about EAFE Small-Cap Ishares

Checking the ongoing alerts about EAFE Small-Cap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EAFE Small-Cap Ishares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

EAFE Small-Cap Alerts

EAFE Small-Cap Alerts and Suggestions

EAFE Small-Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 98.38% of its assets in stocks
Additionally, take a look at EAFE Small-Cap Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, EAFE Small-Cap Correlation, EAFE Small-Cap Hype Analysis, EAFE Small-Cap Volatility, EAFE Small-Cap History as well as EAFE Small-Cap Performance. Note that the EAFE Small-Cap Ishares information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other EAFE Small-Cap's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for EAFE Small-Cap Etf analysis

When running EAFE Small-Cap Ishares price analysis, check to measure EAFE Small-Cap's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EAFE Small-Cap is operating at the current time. Most of EAFE Small-Cap's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EAFE Small-Cap's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EAFE Small-Cap's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EAFE Small-Cap to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of EAFE Small-Cap Ishares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EAFE Small-Cap that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EAFE Small-Cap's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EAFE Small-Cap's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EAFE Small-Cap's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EAFE Small-Cap's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EAFE Small-Cap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine EAFE Small-Cap value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EAFE Small-Cap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.