MONITRONICS OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 2.5

SCTY -  USA Stock  

USD 0.25  0.00  0.00%

MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's future price is the expected price of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
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Additionally, take a look at MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Backtesting, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Valuation, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Correlation, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Hype Analysis, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Volatility, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL History as well as MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Performance. Please specify MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL odds to be computed.
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MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Target Price Odds to finish below 2.5

The tendency of MONITRONICS OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 2.50  after 90 days
 0.25 90 days 2.50  about 75.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL to stay under $ 2.50  after 90 days from now is about 75.56 (This MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL probability density function shows the probability of MONITRONICS OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL price to stay between its current price of $ 0.25  and $ 2.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.15 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL has a beta of 0.0915. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL is significantly underperforming DOW.
 MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.010.2510.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.295.8915.84
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.0022.8125.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.250.250.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL.

MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-1.19
β
Beta against DOW0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL has high historical volatility and very poor performance
MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
MONITRONICS INTERNATIONALhas  23,870,000  shares shorted by MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL investors is about 100% of outstending shares
The company currently holds 997.94 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.21, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for MONITRONICS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 503.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (181.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 363.5 M.
About 48.0% of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MONITRONICS OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares6.02M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day20
Average Daily Volume In Three Month537

MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Technical Analysis

MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MONITRONICS OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL. In general, you should focus on analyzing MONITRONICS OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Predictive Forecast Models

MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL time-series forecasting models is one of many MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL

Checking the ongoing alerts about MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Alerts

MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Alerts and Suggestions

MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL has high historical volatility and very poor performance
MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
MONITRONICS INTERNATIONALhas  23,870,000  shares shorted by MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL investors is about 100% of outstending shares
The company currently holds 997.94 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.21, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for MONITRONICS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 503.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (181.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 363.5 M.
About 48.0% of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Additionally, take a look at MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Backtesting, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Valuation, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Correlation, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Hype Analysis, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Volatility, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL History as well as MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL Performance. Note that the MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for MONITRONICS OTC Stock analysis

When running MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL price analysis, check to measure MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL is operating at the current time. Most of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL. If investors know MONITRONICS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MONITRONICS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MONITRONICS INTERNATIONAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.