Victory Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 16.72

SBFCX
 Fund
  

USD 16.72  0.04  0.24%   

Victory Incore's future price is the expected price of Victory Incore instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Victory Incore Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, take a look at Victory Incore Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Victory Incore Correlation, Victory Incore Hype Analysis, Victory Incore Volatility, Victory Incore History as well as Victory Incore Performance. Please specify Victory Incore time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Victory Incore odds to be computed.

Victory Incore Target Price Odds to finish over 16.72

The tendency of Victory Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.72 90 days 16.72 
about 15.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Victory Incore to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.27 (This Victory Incore Investment probability density function shows the probability of Victory Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Victory Incore has a beta of 0.5. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Victory Incore average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Victory Incore Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Victory Incore Investment is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Victory Incore Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Victory Incore

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victory Incore Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victory Incore's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Victory Incore in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
15.9216.7217.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
15.8116.6117.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.0816.8817.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.2316.4816.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Victory Incore. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Victory Incore's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Victory Incore's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Victory Incore Investment.

Victory Incore Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Victory Incore is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Victory Incore's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Victory Incore Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Victory Incore within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.06
β
Beta against DOW0.50
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Victory Incore Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Victory Incore for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Victory Incore Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Victory Incore is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Victory Incore Technical Analysis

Victory Incore's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Victory Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Victory Incore Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Victory Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Victory Incore Predictive Forecast Models

Victory Incore time-series forecasting models is one of many Victory Incore's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Victory Incore's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Victory Incore Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Victory Incore for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Victory Incore Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Victory Incore is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.
Additionally, take a look at Victory Incore Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Victory Incore Correlation, Victory Incore Hype Analysis, Victory Incore Volatility, Victory Incore History as well as Victory Incore Performance. Note that the Victory Incore Investment information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Victory Incore's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for Victory Mutual Fund analysis

When running Victory Incore Investment price analysis, check to measure Victory Incore's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Victory Incore is operating at the current time. Most of Victory Incore's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Victory Incore's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Victory Incore's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Victory Incore to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Victory Incore's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Victory Incore value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Victory Incore's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.