Science Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 95.2

SAIC
 Stock
  

USD 94.89  0.21  0.22%   

Science Applications' future price is the expected price of Science Applications instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Science Applications International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Book Value is expected to grow to 4.58. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 14.38.
  
Science Applications' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Science Applications International. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Science Applications based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Science Applications International over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-19 CALL at $95.0 is a CALL option contract on Science Applications' common stock with a strick price of 95.0 expiring on 2022-08-19. The contract was last traded on 2022-08-12 at 15:31:37 for $0.5 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.75, and an ask price of $1.85. The implied volatility as of the 16th of August 2022 is 31.3794. View All Science options

Closest to current price Science long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, take a look at Science Applications Backtesting, Science Applications Valuation, Science Applications Correlation, Science Applications Hype Analysis, Science Applications Volatility, Science Applications History as well as Science Applications Performance. Please specify Science Applications time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Science Applications odds to be computed.

Science Applications Target Price Odds to finish over 95.2

The tendency of Science Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 95.20  or more in 90 days
 94.89 90 days 95.20 
about 13.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Science Applications to move over $ 95.20  or more in 90 days from now is about 13.47 (This Science Applications International probability density function shows the probability of Science Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Science Applications price to stay between its current price of $ 94.89  and $ 95.20  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.52 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Science Applications has a beta of 0.93. This usually implies Science Applications International market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Science Applications is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1778, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Science Applications Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Science Applications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Science Applications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Science Applications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Science Applications in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
93.1294.9096.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
85.40105.96107.74
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
93.00103.56111.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.856.957.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Science Applications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Science Applications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Science Applications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Science Applications.

Science Applications Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Science Applications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Science Applications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Science Applications International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Science Applications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.18
β
Beta against DOW0.93
σ
Overall volatility
4.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Science Applications Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Science Applications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Science Applications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company currently holds 2.64 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.6, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Science Applications has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Science Applications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Science Applications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Science Applications sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Science to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Science Applications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 78.0% of Science Applications shares are owned by institutional investors
On 29th of July 2022 Science Applications paid $ 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Look Under The Hood DON Has 11 percent Upside - Nasdaq

Science Applications Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Science Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Science Applications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Science Applications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.77%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.48
Short Percent Of Float3.10%
Float Shares55.33M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day210.47k
Shares Short Prior Month2.02M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month317.16k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.57%

Science Applications Technical Analysis

Science Applications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Science Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Science Applications International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Science Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Science Applications Predictive Forecast Models

Science Applications time-series forecasting models is one of many Science Applications' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Science Applications' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Science Applications

Checking the ongoing alerts about Science Applications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Science Applications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Science Applications Alerts

Science Applications Alerts and Suggestions

The company currently holds 2.64 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.6, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Science Applications has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Science Applications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Science Applications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Science Applications sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Science to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Science Applications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 78.0% of Science Applications shares are owned by institutional investors
On 29th of July 2022 Science Applications paid $ 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Look Under The Hood DON Has 11 percent Upside - Nasdaq
Additionally, take a look at Science Applications Backtesting, Science Applications Valuation, Science Applications Correlation, Science Applications Hype Analysis, Science Applications Volatility, Science Applications History as well as Science Applications Performance. Note that the Science Applications information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Science Applications' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Science Stock analysis

When running Science Applications price analysis, check to measure Science Applications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Science Applications is operating at the current time. Most of Science Applications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Science Applications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Science Applications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Science Applications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Science Applications' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Science Applications. If investors know Science will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Science Applications listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.065
Market Capitalization
5.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.063
Return On Assets
0.0557
Return On Equity
0.17
The market value of Science Applications is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Science that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Science Applications' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Science Applications' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Science Applications' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Science Applications' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Science Applications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Science Applications value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Science Applications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.