Sabre Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.14

SABR
 Stock
  

USD 8.14  0.01  0.12%   

Sabre Corp's future price is the expected price of Sabre Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sabre Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of 08/15/2022, Price to Book Value is likely to grow to 13.25. Also, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 41.89.
  
Sabre Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Sabre Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Sabre Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Sabre Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-19 CALL at $8.0 is a CALL option contract on Sabre Corp's common stock with a strick price of 8.0 expiring on 2022-08-19. The contract was last traded on 2022-08-12 at 15:59:08 for $0.34 and, as of today, has 4 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.34, and an ask price of $0.35. The implied volatility as of the 15th of August 2022 is 57.3941. View All Sabre options

Closest to current price Sabre long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, take a look at Sabre Corp Backtesting, Sabre Corp Valuation, Sabre Corp Correlation, Sabre Corp Hype Analysis, Sabre Corp Volatility, Sabre Corp History as well as Sabre Corp Performance. Please specify Sabre Corp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Sabre Corp odds to be computed.

Sabre Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 8.14

The tendency of Sabre Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.14 90 days 8.14 
about 1.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sabre Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.91 (This Sabre Corp probability density function shows the probability of Sabre Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.41 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sabre Corp will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0481, implying that it can generate a 0.0481 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sabre Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sabre Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sabre Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sabre Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Sabre Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
3.418.1412.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3.678.4013.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.188.9213.65
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
9.0010.5012.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sabre Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sabre Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sabre Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Sabre Corp.

Sabre Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sabre Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sabre Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sabre Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sabre Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.048111
β
Beta against DOW2.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.029611

Sabre Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sabre Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sabre Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sabre Corp has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.95 B. Net Loss for the year was (639.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 997.42 M.
Sabre Corp currently holds about 1.19 B in cash with (361.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.63.
Sabre Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Cain Travel agency signs GDS agreement with Sabre to drive agency sales and revenue growth - Marketscreener.com

Sabre Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sabre Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sabre Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sabre Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out13.84%
Short Percent Of Float13.96%
Float Shares324.54M
Shares Short Prior Month43.8M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.91M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month8.78M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Sabre Corp Technical Analysis

Sabre Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sabre Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sabre Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sabre Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sabre Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Sabre Corp time-series forecasting models is one of many Sabre Corp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Sabre Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sabre Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sabre Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sabre Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Sabre Corp Alerts

Sabre Corp Alerts and Suggestions

Sabre Corp has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.95 B. Net Loss for the year was (639.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 997.42 M.
Sabre Corp currently holds about 1.19 B in cash with (361.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.63.
Sabre Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Cain Travel agency signs GDS agreement with Sabre to drive agency sales and revenue growth - Marketscreener.com
Additionally, take a look at Sabre Corp Backtesting, Sabre Corp Valuation, Sabre Corp Correlation, Sabre Corp Hype Analysis, Sabre Corp Volatility, Sabre Corp History as well as Sabre Corp Performance. Note that the Sabre Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Sabre Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for Sabre Stock analysis

When running Sabre Corp price analysis, check to measure Sabre Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sabre Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Sabre Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sabre Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sabre Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sabre Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Sabre Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sabre Corp. If investors know Sabre will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sabre Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.13
Market Capitalization
2.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.57
Return On Assets
-0.048
Return On Equity
-7.37
The market value of Sabre Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sabre that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sabre Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sabre Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sabre Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sabre Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sabre Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Sabre Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sabre Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.