Vaneck Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 176.13

RTH
 Etf
  

USD 160.22  4.43  2.84%   

Vaneck Retail's future price is the expected price of Vaneck Retail instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vaneck Retail ETF performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Vaneck Retail's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Vaneck Retail ETF. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Vaneck Retail based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Vaneck Retail ETF over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $160.0 is a CALL option contract on Vaneck Retail's common stock with a strick price of 160.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-19 at 11:39:55 for $7.4 and, as of today, has 23 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $4.0, and an ask price of $6.0. The implied volatility as of the 28th of September is 30.5577. View All Vaneck options

Closest to current price Vaneck long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, take a look at Vaneck Retail Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vaneck Retail Correlation, Vaneck Retail Hype Analysis, Vaneck Retail Volatility, Vaneck Retail History as well as Vaneck Retail Performance. Please specify Vaneck Retail time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Vaneck Retail odds to be computed.

Vaneck Retail Target Price Odds to finish over 176.13

The tendency of Vaneck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 176.13  or more in 90 days
 160.22 90 days 176.13 
about 7.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vaneck Retail to move over $ 176.13  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.64 (This Vaneck Retail ETF probability density function shows the probability of Vaneck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vaneck Retail ETF price to stay between its current price of $ 160.22  and $ 176.13  at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.97 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vaneck Retail has a beta of 0.0161 indicating as returns on the market go up, Vaneck Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vaneck Retail ETF will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Vaneck Retail ETF is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Vaneck Retail Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vaneck Retail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vaneck Retail ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vaneck Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vaneck Retail in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
158.76160.22161.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
150.07151.53176.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
153.04154.50155.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
154.70165.41176.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vaneck Retail. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vaneck Retail's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vaneck Retail's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vaneck Retail ETF.

Vaneck Retail Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vaneck Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vaneck Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vaneck Retail ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vaneck Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.03
β
Beta against DOW0.0161
σ
Overall volatility
7.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.043871

Vaneck Retail Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vaneck Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vaneck Retail ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.96% of its assets in stocks

Vaneck Retail Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vaneck Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vaneck Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vaneck Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day13.08k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month9.48k

Vaneck Retail Technical Analysis

Vaneck Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vaneck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vaneck Retail ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vaneck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vaneck Retail Predictive Forecast Models

Vaneck Retail time-series forecasting models is one of many Vaneck Retail's etf analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Vaneck Retail's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vaneck Retail ETF

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vaneck Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vaneck Retail ETF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.96% of its assets in stocks
Additionally, take a look at Vaneck Retail Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vaneck Retail Correlation, Vaneck Retail Hype Analysis, Vaneck Retail Volatility, Vaneck Retail History as well as Vaneck Retail Performance. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Vaneck Retail ETF price analysis, check to measure Vaneck Retail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vaneck Retail is operating at the current time. Most of Vaneck Retail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vaneck Retail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vaneck Retail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vaneck Retail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Vaneck Retail ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vaneck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vaneck Retail's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vaneck Retail's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vaneck Retail's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vaneck Retail's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vaneck Retail's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Vaneck Retail value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vaneck Retail's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.