Ratchaphruek Hospital (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.05

RPH
 Stock
  

THB 6.05  0.05  0.82%   

Ratchaphruek Hospital's future price is the expected price of Ratchaphruek Hospital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ratchaphruek Hospital Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, take a look at Ratchaphruek Hospital Backtesting, Ratchaphruek Hospital Valuation, Ratchaphruek Hospital Correlation, Ratchaphruek Hospital Hype Analysis, Ratchaphruek Hospital Volatility, Ratchaphruek Hospital History as well as Ratchaphruek Hospital Performance. Please specify Ratchaphruek Hospital time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ratchaphruek Hospital odds to be computed.

Ratchaphruek Hospital Target Price Odds to finish over 6.05

The tendency of Ratchaphruek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.05 90 days 6.05 
about 73.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ratchaphruek Hospital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.4 (This Ratchaphruek Hospital Public probability density function shows the probability of Ratchaphruek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ratchaphruek Hospital has a beta of 0.0714 indicating as returns on the market go up, Ratchaphruek Hospital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ratchaphruek Hospital Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Ratchaphruek Hospital is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Ratchaphruek Hospital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ratchaphruek Hospital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ratchaphruek Hospital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ratchaphruek Hospital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ratchaphruek Hospital in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
4.916.057.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
4.966.107.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.056.197.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.016.096.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ratchaphruek Hospital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ratchaphruek Hospital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ratchaphruek Hospital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Ratchaphruek Hospital.

Ratchaphruek Hospital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ratchaphruek Hospital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ratchaphruek Hospital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ratchaphruek Hospital Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ratchaphruek Hospital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Ratchaphruek Hospital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ratchaphruek Hospital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ratchaphruek Hospital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ratchaphruek Hospital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Ratchaphruek Hospital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ratchaphruek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ratchaphruek Hospital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ratchaphruek Hospital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding546000000.00

Ratchaphruek Hospital Technical Analysis

Ratchaphruek Hospital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ratchaphruek Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ratchaphruek Hospital Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ratchaphruek Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ratchaphruek Hospital Predictive Forecast Models

Ratchaphruek Hospital time-series forecasting models is one of many Ratchaphruek Hospital's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ratchaphruek Hospital's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ratchaphruek Hospital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ratchaphruek Hospital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ratchaphruek Hospital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ratchaphruek Hospital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Additionally, take a look at Ratchaphruek Hospital Backtesting, Ratchaphruek Hospital Valuation, Ratchaphruek Hospital Correlation, Ratchaphruek Hospital Hype Analysis, Ratchaphruek Hospital Volatility, Ratchaphruek Hospital History as well as Ratchaphruek Hospital Performance. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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When running Ratchaphruek Hospital price analysis, check to measure Ratchaphruek Hospital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ratchaphruek Hospital is operating at the current time. Most of Ratchaphruek Hospital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ratchaphruek Hospital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ratchaphruek Hospital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ratchaphruek Hospital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Ratchaphruek Hospital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ratchaphruek Hospital value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ratchaphruek Hospital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.