Roper Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 360.39

ROP
 Stock
  

USD 438.89  13.64  3.21%   

Roper Industries' future price is the expected price of Roper Industries instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Roper Industries performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of 30th of November 2022, Price to Book Value is likely to drop to 2.73. In addition to that, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to 30.88.
  
Roper Industries' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Roper Industries. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Roper Industries based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Roper Industries over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $440.0 is a CALL option contract on Roper Industries' common stock with a strick price of 440.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-28 at 15:08:39 for $4.61 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.3, and an ask price of $3.8. The implied volatility as of the 30th of November is 22.8848. View All Roper options

Closest to current price Roper long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, take a look at Roper Industries Backtesting, Roper Industries Valuation, Roper Industries Correlation, Roper Industries Hype Analysis, Roper Industries Volatility, Roper Industries History as well as Roper Industries Performance. Please specify Roper Industries time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Roper Industries odds to be computed.

Roper Industries Target Price Odds to finish over 360.39

The tendency of Roper Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 360.39  in 90 days
 438.89 90 days 360.39 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Roper Industries to stay above $ 360.39  in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Roper Industries probability density function shows the probability of Roper Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Roper Industries price to stay between $ 360.39  and its current price of $438.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.07 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Roper Industries has a beta of 0.97 indicating Roper Industries market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Roper Industries is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Roper Industries is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Roper Industries Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Roper Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roper Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Roper Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Roper Industries in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
423.25424.99426.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
383.59453.69455.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
414.07415.81417.55
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
375.00511.00560.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Roper Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Roper Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Roper Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Roper Industries.

Roper Industries Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Roper Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Roper Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Roper Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Roper Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.006
β
Beta against DOW0.97
σ
Overall volatility
24.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.0049

Roper Industries Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Roper Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Roper Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 21st of October 2022 Roper Industries paid $ 0.62 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Roper Industries Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Roper Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Roper Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Roper Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date5th of October 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out0.99%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.48
Short Percent Of Float1.11%
Float Shares105.54M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day472.71k
Shares Short Prior Month1.05M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month594.48k
Date Short Interest31st of October 2022

Roper Industries Technical Analysis

Roper Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Roper Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Roper Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Roper Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Roper Industries Predictive Forecast Models

Roper Industries time-series forecasting models is one of many Roper Industries' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Roper Industries' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Roper Industries

Checking the ongoing alerts about Roper Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Roper Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 21st of October 2022 Roper Industries paid $ 0.62 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Additionally, take a look at Roper Industries Backtesting, Roper Industries Valuation, Roper Industries Correlation, Roper Industries Hype Analysis, Roper Industries Volatility, Roper Industries History as well as Roper Industries Performance. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Roper Industries price analysis, check to measure Roper Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Roper Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Roper Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Roper Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Roper Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Roper Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Roper Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Roper Industries. If investors know Roper will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Roper Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.13
Market Capitalization
45 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.096
Return On Assets
0.0444
Return On Equity
0.0859
The market value of Roper Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Roper that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Roper Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Roper Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Roper Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Roper Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Roper Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Roper Industries value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Roper Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.