Capital Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 58.43

RIREX
 Fund
  

USD 64.20  0.19  0.30%   

Capital Income's future price is the expected price of Capital Income instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capital Income Builder performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, take a look at Capital Income Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Capital Income Correlation, Capital Income Hype Analysis, Capital Income Volatility, Capital Income History as well as Capital Income Performance. Please specify Capital Income time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Capital Income odds to be computed.

Capital Income Target Price Odds to finish below 58.43

The tendency of Capital Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 58.43  or more in 90 days
 64.20 90 days 58.43 
about 13.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Income to drop to $ 58.43  or more in 90 days from now is about 13.45 (This Capital Income Builder probability density function shows the probability of Capital Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital Income Builder price to stay between $ 58.43  and its current price of $64.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Capital Income has a beta of 0.0513 indicating as returns on the market go up, Capital Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capital Income Builder will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0109, implying that it can generate a 0.0109 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Capital Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capital Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Income Builder. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capital Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Capital Income in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
63.0964.1365.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
62.2963.3364.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
63.8364.8765.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
60.0562.2164.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capital Income. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capital Income's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capital Income's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Capital Income Builder.

Capital Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Income Builder, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.010928
β
Beta against DOW0.05
σ
Overall volatility
2.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Capital Income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital Income Builder can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital Income is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years

Capital Income Technical Analysis

Capital Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital Income Builder. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capital Income Predictive Forecast Models

Capital Income time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital Income's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Capital Income's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Capital Income Builder

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital Income Builder help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital Income is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Additionally, take a look at Capital Income Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Capital Income Correlation, Capital Income Hype Analysis, Capital Income Volatility, Capital Income History as well as Capital Income Performance. Note that the Capital Income Builder information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Capital Income's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for Capital Mutual Fund analysis

When running Capital Income Builder price analysis, check to measure Capital Income's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital Income is operating at the current time. Most of Capital Income's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital Income's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital Income's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital Income to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Capital Income value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.