QREARX Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 574.13

QREARX
 Fund
  

USD 574.13  0.00  0.00%   

TIAA Real's future price is the expected price of TIAA Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TIAA Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please see Your Equity Center.Please specify TIAA Real time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like TIAA Real odds to be computed.

TIAA Real Target Price Odds to finish over 574.13

The tendency of QREARX Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 574.13 90 days 574.13 
about 15.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TIAA Real to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.64 (This TIAA Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of QREARX Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TIAA Real has a beta of 0.0011 indicating as returns on the market go up, TIAA Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TIAA Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0074, implying that it can generate a 0.007396 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TIAA Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TIAA Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TIAA Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of TIAA Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of TIAA Real in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
574.06574.13574.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
530.39530.46631.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
573.10573.17573.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
571.65573.56575.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TIAA Real. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TIAA Real's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TIAA Real's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in TIAA Real Estate.

TIAA Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TIAA Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TIAA Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TIAA Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TIAA Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.007396
β
Beta against DOW0.0011
σ
Overall volatility
2.10
Ir
Information ratio 1.46

TIAA Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TIAA Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TIAA Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TIAA Real Estate is not currently marked as verified by its exchange. Report It!

TIAA Real Technical Analysis

TIAA Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. QREARX Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TIAA Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing QREARX Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TIAA Real Predictive Forecast Models

TIAA Real time-series forecasting models is one of many TIAA Real's fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary TIAA Real's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TIAA Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about TIAA Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TIAA Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TIAA Real Estate is not currently marked as verified by its exchange. Report It!
Please see Your Equity Center. Note that the TIAA Real Estate information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other TIAA Real's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Other Tools for QREARX Fund

When running TIAA Real Estate price analysis, check to measure TIAA Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TIAA Real is operating at the current time. Most of TIAA Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TIAA Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TIAA Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TIAA Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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