Qualys Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 127.02

QLYS
 Stock
  

USD 127.76  0.85  0.67%   

Qualys' future price is the expected price of Qualys instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Qualys Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of 08/08/2022, Price to Book Value is likely to grow to 6.21. Also, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 67.92.
  
Qualys' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Qualys Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Qualys based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Qualys Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-19 CALL at $130.0 is a CALL option contract on Qualys' common stock with a strick price of 130.0 expiring on 2022-08-19. The contract was last traded on 2022-08-04 at 11:54:57 for $4.7 and, as of today, has 11 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $3.4, and an ask price of $5.9. The implied volatility as of the 8th of August is 56.1501. View All Qualys options

Closest to current price Qualys long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see Qualys Backtesting, Qualys Valuation, Qualys Correlation, Qualys Hype Analysis, Qualys Volatility, Qualys History as well as Qualys Performance. Please specify Qualys time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Qualys odds to be computed.

Qualys Target Price Odds to finish over 127.02

The tendency of Qualys Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 127.02  in 90 days
 127.76 90 days 127.02 
about 43.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qualys to stay above $ 127.02  in 90 days from now is about 43.82 (This Qualys Inc probability density function shows the probability of Qualys Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qualys Inc price to stay between $ 127.02  and its current price of $127.76 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.67 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.5 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Qualys will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Qualys Inc is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Qualys Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Qualys

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qualys Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Qualys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Qualys in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
125.24127.94130.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
125.76128.46131.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
128.03130.73133.42
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
105.00132.38175.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Qualys. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Qualys' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Qualys' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Qualys Inc.

Qualys Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qualys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qualys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qualys Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qualys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.02
β
Beta against DOW1.50
σ
Overall volatility
6.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.0098

Qualys Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qualys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qualys Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Qualys Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Qualys Brings External Attack Surface Management to the Qualys Cloud Platform - Marketscreener.com

Qualys Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Qualys Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qualys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qualys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out5.87%
Short Percent Of Float6.56%
Float Shares35.14M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day307.25k
Shares Short Prior Month2.17M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month377.72k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Qualys Technical Analysis

Qualys' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qualys Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qualys Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qualys Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Qualys Predictive Forecast Models

Qualys time-series forecasting models is one of many Qualys' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Qualys' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Qualys Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Qualys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qualys Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Qualys Alerts

Qualys Alerts and Suggestions

Qualys Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Qualys Brings External Attack Surface Management to the Qualys Cloud Platform - Marketscreener.com
Please see Qualys Backtesting, Qualys Valuation, Qualys Correlation, Qualys Hype Analysis, Qualys Volatility, Qualys History as well as Qualys Performance. Note that the Qualys Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Qualys' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Complementary Tools for Qualys Stock analysis

When running Qualys Inc price analysis, check to measure Qualys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qualys is operating at the current time. Most of Qualys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qualys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qualys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qualys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Qualys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Qualys. If investors know Qualys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Qualys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
109.08
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.17
Return On Assets
0.1
Return On Equity
0.23
The market value of Qualys Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Qualys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Qualys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Qualys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Qualys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Qualys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Qualys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Qualys value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Qualys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.