QUALITAU (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4319.00

QLTU
 Stock
  

ILA 4,319  16.00  0.37%   

QUALITAU's future price is the expected price of QUALITAU instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of QUALITAU performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please see Your Equity Center.Please specify QUALITAU time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like QUALITAU odds to be computed.

QUALITAU Target Price Odds to finish over 4319.00

The tendency of QUALITAU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4,319 90 days 4,319 
roughly 2.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of QUALITAU to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.69 (This QUALITAU probability density function shows the probability of QUALITAU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon QUALITAU has a beta of 0.32 indicating as returns on the market go up, QUALITAU average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding QUALITAU will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.6081, implying that it can generate a 0.61 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   QUALITAU Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for QUALITAU

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QUALITAU. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of QUALITAU's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of QUALITAU in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
4,3194,3194,319
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3,8874,6704,670
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4,5264,5264,526
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,1404,2474,357
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as QUALITAU. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against QUALITAU's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, QUALITAU's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in QUALITAU.

QUALITAU Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. QUALITAU is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the QUALITAU's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold QUALITAU, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of QUALITAU within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.61
β
Beta against DOW0.32
σ
Overall volatility
365.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

QUALITAU Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of QUALITAU for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for QUALITAU can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
QUALITAU is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
QUALITAU has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

QUALITAU Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of QUALITAU Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential QUALITAU's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. QUALITAU's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares3.08M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day12.3k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month11.31k

QUALITAU Technical Analysis

QUALITAU's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. QUALITAU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of QUALITAU. In general, you should focus on analyzing QUALITAU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

QUALITAU Predictive Forecast Models

QUALITAU time-series forecasting models is one of many QUALITAU's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary QUALITAU's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about QUALITAU

Checking the ongoing alerts about QUALITAU for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for QUALITAU help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
QUALITAU is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
QUALITAU has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Please see Your Equity Center. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running QUALITAU price analysis, check to measure QUALITAU's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy QUALITAU is operating at the current time. Most of QUALITAU's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of QUALITAU's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move QUALITAU's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of QUALITAU to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between QUALITAU's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine QUALITAU value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, QUALITAU's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.