QUALITY HOUSES (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.60

QHPF
 Stock
  

THB 9.60  0.05  0.52%   

QUALITY HOUSES's future price is the expected price of QUALITY HOUSES instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of QUALITY HOUSES LEASEHOLD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please see QUALITY HOUSES Backtesting, QUALITY HOUSES Valuation, QUALITY HOUSES Correlation, QUALITY HOUSES Hype Analysis, QUALITY HOUSES Volatility, QUALITY HOUSES History as well as QUALITY HOUSES Performance. Please specify QUALITY HOUSES time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like QUALITY HOUSES odds to be computed.

QUALITY HOUSES Target Price Odds to finish over 9.60

The tendency of QUALITY Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.60 90 days 9.60 
about 46.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of QUALITY HOUSES to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 46.93 (This QUALITY HOUSES LEASEHOLD probability density function shows the probability of QUALITY Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon QUALITY HOUSES LEASEHOLD has a beta of -0.0308 indicating as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding QUALITY HOUSES are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, QUALITY HOUSES LEASEHOLD is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. QUALITY HOUSES LEASE is significantly underperforming DOW.
   QUALITY HOUSES Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for QUALITY HOUSES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QUALITY HOUSES LEASE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of QUALITY HOUSES's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of QUALITY HOUSES in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
8.809.6010.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.779.5710.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.739.5310.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.409.619.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as QUALITY HOUSES. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against QUALITY HOUSES's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, QUALITY HOUSES's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in QUALITY HOUSES LEASE.

QUALITY HOUSES Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. QUALITY HOUSES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the QUALITY HOUSES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold QUALITY HOUSES LEASEHOLD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of QUALITY HOUSES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.05
β
Beta against DOW-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.003495

QUALITY HOUSES Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of QUALITY HOUSES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for QUALITY HOUSES LEASE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
QUALITY HOUSES LEASE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

QUALITY HOUSES Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of QUALITY Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential QUALITY HOUSES's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. QUALITY HOUSES's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date7th of September 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.40
Float Shares483.68M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day231.18k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month264.91k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield4.19%

QUALITY HOUSES Technical Analysis

QUALITY HOUSES's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. QUALITY Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of QUALITY HOUSES LEASEHOLD. In general, you should focus on analyzing QUALITY Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

QUALITY HOUSES Predictive Forecast Models

QUALITY HOUSES time-series forecasting models is one of many QUALITY HOUSES's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary QUALITY HOUSES's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about QUALITY HOUSES LEASE

Checking the ongoing alerts about QUALITY HOUSES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for QUALITY HOUSES LEASE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

QUALITY HOUSES Alerts

QUALITY HOUSES Alerts and Suggestions

QUALITY HOUSES LEASE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Please see QUALITY HOUSES Backtesting, QUALITY HOUSES Valuation, QUALITY HOUSES Correlation, QUALITY HOUSES Hype Analysis, QUALITY HOUSES Volatility, QUALITY HOUSES History as well as QUALITY HOUSES Performance. You can also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Other Tools for QUALITY Stock

When running QUALITY HOUSES LEASE price analysis, check to measure QUALITY HOUSES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy QUALITY HOUSES is operating at the current time. Most of QUALITY HOUSES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of QUALITY HOUSES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move QUALITY HOUSES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of QUALITY HOUSES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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