QGIAX Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 22.39

QGIAX
 Fund
  

USD 22.39  0.76  3.51%   

PEAR TREE's future price is the expected price of PEAR TREE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PEAR TREE QUALITY performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please see PEAR TREE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, PEAR TREE Correlation, PEAR TREE Hype Analysis, PEAR TREE Volatility, PEAR TREE History as well as PEAR TREE Performance. Please specify PEAR TREE time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like PEAR TREE odds to be computed.

PEAR TREE Target Price Odds to finish over 22.39

The tendency of QGIAX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.39 90 days 22.39 
about 1.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PEAR TREE to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.49 (This PEAR TREE QUALITY probability density function shows the probability of QGIAX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PEAR TREE has a beta of 0.99 indicating PEAR TREE QUALITY market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, PEAR TREE is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0117, implying that it can generate a 0.0117 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PEAR TREE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PEAR TREE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PEAR TREE QUALITY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of PEAR TREE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of PEAR TREE in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
20.8222.3923.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
20.4221.9923.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
20.9322.5024.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.9921.3022.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PEAR TREE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PEAR TREE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PEAR TREE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in PEAR TREE QUALITY.

PEAR TREE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PEAR TREE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PEAR TREE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PEAR TREE QUALITY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PEAR TREE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.011682
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.99
σ
Overall volatility
0.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.007031

PEAR TREE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PEAR TREE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PEAR TREE QUALITY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PEAR TREE QUALITY is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains 97.05% of its assets in stocks

PEAR TREE Technical Analysis

PEAR TREE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. QGIAX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PEAR TREE QUALITY. In general, you should focus on analyzing QGIAX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PEAR TREE Predictive Forecast Models

PEAR TREE time-series forecasting models is one of many PEAR TREE's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary PEAR TREE's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PEAR TREE QUALITY

Checking the ongoing alerts about PEAR TREE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PEAR TREE QUALITY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PEAR TREE QUALITY is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains 97.05% of its assets in stocks
Please see PEAR TREE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, PEAR TREE Correlation, PEAR TREE Hype Analysis, PEAR TREE Volatility, PEAR TREE History as well as PEAR TREE Performance. Note that the PEAR TREE QUALITY information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other PEAR TREE's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Complementary Tools for QGIAX Mutual Fund analysis

When running PEAR TREE QUALITY price analysis, check to measure PEAR TREE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PEAR TREE is operating at the current time. Most of PEAR TREE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PEAR TREE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PEAR TREE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PEAR TREE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between PEAR TREE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine PEAR TREE value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PEAR TREE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.