QUANTIFIED Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.93

QALTX
 Fund
  

USD 9.20  0.03  0.33%   

QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE's future price is the expected price of QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please see QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE Correlation, QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE Hype Analysis, QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE Volatility, QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE History as well as QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE Performance. Please specify QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE odds to be computed.

QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE Target Price Odds to finish below 9.93

The tendency of QUANTIFIED Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 9.93  after 90 days
 9.20 90 days 9.93 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE to stay under $ 9.93  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENT probability density function shows the probability of QUANTIFIED Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE price to stay between its current price of $ 9.20  and $ 9.93  at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.08 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENT has a beta of -0.036 indicating as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENT is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
8.659.209.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.669.219.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.589.139.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.169.299.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE.

QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund maintains about 28.92% of its assets in cash

QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE Technical Analysis

QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. QUANTIFIED Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENT. In general, you should focus on analyzing QUANTIFIED Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE Predictive Forecast Models

QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE time-series forecasting models is one of many QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE

Checking the ongoing alerts about QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund maintains about 28.92% of its assets in cash

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When running QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE price analysis, check to measure QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE is operating at the current time. Most of QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, QUANTIFIED ALTERNATIVE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.