Postal OTC Pink Sheet Probability of Future OTC Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 11.45

PSTVY
 Stock
  

USD 11.99  0.18  1.48%   

Postal Savings' future price is the expected price of Postal Savings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Postal Savings Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Postal Savings Backtesting, Postal Savings Valuation, Postal Savings Correlation, Postal Savings Hype Analysis, Postal Savings Volatility, Postal Savings History as well as Postal Savings Performance. Please specify Postal Savings time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Postal Savings odds to be computed.

Postal Savings Target Price Odds to finish over 11.45

The tendency of Postal OTC Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 11.45  in 90 days
 11.99 90 days 11.45 
about 36.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Postal Savings to stay above $ 11.45  in 90 days from now is about 36.4 (This Postal Savings Bank probability density function shows the probability of Postal OTC Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Postal Savings Bank price to stay between $ 11.45  and its current price of $11.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.9 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Postal Savings Bank has a beta of -0.25 indicating as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Postal Savings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Postal Savings Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0707, implying that it can generate a 0.0707 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Postal Savings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Postal Savings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Postal Savings Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Postal Savings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Postal Savings in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
8.5811.9915.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.209.6113.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Postal Savings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Postal Savings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Postal Savings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Postal Savings Bank.

Postal Savings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Postal Savings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Postal Savings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Postal Savings Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Postal Savings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Postal Savings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Postal Savings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Postal Savings Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Postal Savings Bank has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Postal Savings Bank has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Postal Savings Bank has accumulated about 1600 B in cash with (1090 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 347.44, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Postal Savings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Postal OTC Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Postal Savings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Postal Savings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.21
Float Shares862.31M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day642
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.89k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.83%

Postal Savings Technical Analysis

Postal Savings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Postal OTC Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Postal Savings Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Postal OTC Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Postal Savings Predictive Forecast Models

Postal Savings time-series forecasting models is one of many Postal Savings' otc pink sheet analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Postal Savings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Postal Savings Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Postal Savings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Postal Savings Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Postal Savings Bank has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Postal Savings Bank has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Postal Savings Bank has accumulated about 1600 B in cash with (1090 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 347.44, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Please check Postal Savings Backtesting, Postal Savings Valuation, Postal Savings Correlation, Postal Savings Hype Analysis, Postal Savings Volatility, Postal Savings History as well as Postal Savings Performance. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Postal Savings Bank price analysis, check to measure Postal Savings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Postal Savings is operating at the current time. Most of Postal Savings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Postal Savings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Postal Savings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Postal Savings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Postal Savings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Postal Savings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Postal Savings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.