Postal OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 10.77

PSTVY
 Stock
  

USD 11.48  0.09  0.79%   

Postal Svgs' future price is the expected price of Postal Svgs instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Postal Svgs Bk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Postal Svgs Backtesting, Postal Svgs Valuation, Postal Svgs Correlation, Postal Svgs Hype Analysis, Postal Svgs Volatility, Postal Svgs History as well as Postal Svgs Performance. Please specify Postal Svgs time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Postal Svgs odds to be computed.

Postal Svgs Target Price Odds to finish over 10.77

The tendency of Postal OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 10.77  in 90 days
 11.48 90 days 10.77 
about 65.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Postal Svgs to stay above $ 10.77  in 90 days from now is about 65.7 (This Postal Svgs Bk probability density function shows the probability of Postal OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Postal Svgs Bk price to stay between $ 10.77  and its current price of $11.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.42 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Postal Svgs Bk has a beta of -0.39 indicating as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Postal Svgs are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Postal Svgs Bk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Postal Svgs Bk is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Postal Svgs Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Postal Svgs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Postal Svgs Bk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Postal Svgs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Postal Svgs in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
8.1711.4814.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.099.4012.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.5310.8414.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.8110.9412.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Postal Svgs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Postal Svgs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Postal Svgs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Postal Svgs Bk.

Postal Svgs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Postal Svgs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Postal Svgs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Postal Svgs Bk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Postal Svgs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.06
β
Beta against DOW-0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.94
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Postal Svgs Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Postal Svgs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Postal Svgs Bk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Postal Svgs Bk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Postal Svgs Bk has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Postal Svgs Bk has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Postal Svgs Bk has accumulated about 1600 B in cash with (1090 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 347.44, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from news.google.com: The Key to U.S. GDP Growth - Barrons

Postal Svgs Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Postal OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Postal Svgs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Postal Svgs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.21
Float Shares862.31M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.4k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.97k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.85%

Postal Svgs Technical Analysis

Postal Svgs' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Postal OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Postal Svgs Bk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Postal OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Postal Svgs Predictive Forecast Models

Postal Svgs time-series forecasting models is one of many Postal Svgs' otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Postal Svgs' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Postal Svgs Bk

Checking the ongoing alerts about Postal Svgs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Postal Svgs Bk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Postal Svgs Bk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Postal Svgs Bk has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Postal Svgs Bk has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Postal Svgs Bk has accumulated about 1600 B in cash with (1090 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 347.44, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from news.google.com: The Key to U.S. GDP Growth - Barrons
Please check Postal Svgs Backtesting, Postal Svgs Valuation, Postal Svgs Correlation, Postal Svgs Hype Analysis, Postal Svgs Volatility, Postal Svgs History as well as Postal Svgs Performance. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Postal Svgs Bk price analysis, check to measure Postal Svgs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Postal Svgs is operating at the current time. Most of Postal Svgs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Postal Svgs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Postal Svgs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Postal Svgs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Postal Svgs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Postal Svgs value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Postal Svgs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.