Perdoceo Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.53

PRDO
 Stock
  

USD 11.53  0.14  1.20%   

Perdoceo Education's future price is the expected price of Perdoceo Education instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Perdoceo Education Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
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Perdoceo Education's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Perdoceo Education Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Perdoceo Education based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Perdoceo Education Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-07-15 CALL at $12.5 is a CALL option contract on Perdoceo Education's common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2022-07-15. The contract was last traded on 2022-06-29 at 12:27:13 for $0.07 and, as of today, has 15 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.0, and an ask price of $0.1. The implied volatility as of the 30th of June is 36.5594. View All Perdoceo options

Closest to current price Perdoceo long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Perdoceo Education Backtesting, Perdoceo Education Valuation, Perdoceo Education Correlation, Perdoceo Education Hype Analysis, Perdoceo Education Volatility, Perdoceo Education History as well as Perdoceo Education Performance. Please specify Perdoceo Education time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Perdoceo Education odds to be computed.
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Perdoceo Education Target Price Odds to finish over 11.53

The tendency of Perdoceo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.53 90 days 11.53  about 17.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Perdoceo Education to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.2 (This Perdoceo Education Corp probability density function shows the probability of Perdoceo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Perdoceo Education has a beta of 0.51 indicating as returns on the market go up, Perdoceo Education average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Perdoceo Education Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.07, implying that it can generate a 0.07 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Perdoceo Education Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Perdoceo Education

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perdoceo Education Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Perdoceo Education's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Perdoceo Education in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.6511.6013.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.4413.6215.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.3412.2814.23
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.0020.0020.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Perdoceo Education. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Perdoceo Education's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Perdoceo Education's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Perdoceo Education Corp.

Perdoceo Education Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Perdoceo Education is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Perdoceo Education's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Perdoceo Education Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Perdoceo Education within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.07
β
Beta against DOW0.51
σ
Overall volatility
0.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Perdoceo Education Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Perdoceo Education for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Perdoceo Education Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Perdoceo Education generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Insiders sold US1.7m worth of Perdoceo Education Corporation stock last year, could be a warning sign to watch out for - Simply Wall St

Perdoceo Education Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Perdoceo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Perdoceo Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perdoceo Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out5.84%
Short Percent Of Float7.15%
Float Shares63.02M
Shares Short Prior Month4.11M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day794.28k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month572k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022

Perdoceo Education Technical Analysis

Perdoceo Education's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Perdoceo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Perdoceo Education Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Perdoceo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Perdoceo Education Predictive Forecast Models

Perdoceo Education time-series forecasting models is one of many Perdoceo Education's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Perdoceo Education's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Perdoceo Education Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Perdoceo Education for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Perdoceo Education Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Perdoceo Education Alerts

Perdoceo Education Alerts and Suggestions

Perdoceo Education generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Insiders sold US1.7m worth of Perdoceo Education Corporation stock last year, could be a warning sign to watch out for - Simply Wall St
Please check Perdoceo Education Backtesting, Perdoceo Education Valuation, Perdoceo Education Correlation, Perdoceo Education Hype Analysis, Perdoceo Education Volatility, Perdoceo Education History as well as Perdoceo Education Performance. Note that the Perdoceo Education Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Perdoceo Education's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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When running Perdoceo Education Corp price analysis, check to measure Perdoceo Education's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Perdoceo Education is operating at the current time. Most of Perdoceo Education's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Perdoceo Education's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Perdoceo Education's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Perdoceo Education to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Perdoceo Education's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Perdoceo Education. If investors know Perdoceo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Perdoceo Education listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.07
Market Capitalization
802.7 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.004
Return On Assets
0.12
Return On Equity
0.18
The market value of Perdoceo Education Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Perdoceo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Perdoceo Education's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Perdoceo Education's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Perdoceo Education's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Perdoceo Education's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Perdoceo Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Perdoceo Education value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Perdoceo Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.