Invesco Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 16.73

PKRAX
 Fund
  

USD 11.40  0.07  0.61%   

Invesco Peak's future price is the expected price of Invesco Peak instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Peak Retirement performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Invesco Peak Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Peak Correlation, Invesco Peak Hype Analysis, Invesco Peak Volatility, Invesco Peak History as well as Invesco Peak Performance. Please specify Invesco Peak time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Invesco Peak odds to be computed.

Invesco Peak Target Price Odds to finish over 16.73

The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 16.73  or more in 90 days
 11.40 90 days 16.73 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Peak to move over $ 16.73  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Invesco Peak Retirement probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Peak Retirement price to stay between its current price of $ 11.40  and $ 16.73  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Peak has a beta of 0.009 indicating as returns on the market go up, Invesco Peak average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Peak Retirement will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0383, implying that it can generate a 0.0383 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco Peak Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Peak

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Peak Retirement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Peak's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Invesco Peak in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.001.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.001.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.9911.3012.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.9711.3911.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco Peak. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco Peak's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco Peak's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Invesco Peak Retirement.

Invesco Peak Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Peak is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Peak's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Peak Retirement, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Peak within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.038348
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.009
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Invesco Peak Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Peak for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Peak Retirement can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Peak generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 6.85% of its assets in cash

Invesco Peak Technical Analysis

Invesco Peak's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Peak Retirement. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Peak Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Peak time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Peak's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Invesco Peak's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Peak Retirement

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Peak for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Peak Retirement help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Peak generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 6.85% of its assets in cash
Please check Invesco Peak Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Peak Correlation, Invesco Peak Hype Analysis, Invesco Peak Volatility, Invesco Peak History as well as Invesco Peak Performance. Note that the Invesco Peak Retirement information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Invesco Peak's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Complementary Tools for Invesco Mutual Fund analysis

When running Invesco Peak Retirement price analysis, check to measure Invesco Peak's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Peak is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Peak's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Peak's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Peak's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Peak to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Peak's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Invesco Peak value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Peak's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.