Procter Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 128.23

PG
 Stock
  

USD 151.32  1.08  0.72%   

Procter Gamble's future price is the expected price of Procter Gamble instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Procter Gamble performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 93.83, whereas Price to Book Value is forecasted to decline to 5.46.
  
Procter Gamble's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Procter Gamble. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Procter Gamble based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Procter Gamble over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-09 CALL at $152.5 is a CALL option contract on Procter Gamble's common stock with a strick price of 152.5 expiring on 2022-12-09. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-07 at 15:59:47 for $0.21 and, as of today, has 1 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.12, and an ask price of $0.19. The implied volatility as of the 8th of December is 26.6826. View All Procter options

Closest to current price Procter long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Procter Gamble Backtesting, Procter Gamble Valuation, Procter Gamble Correlation, Procter Gamble Hype Analysis, Procter Gamble Volatility, Procter Gamble History as well as Procter Gamble Performance. Please specify Procter Gamble time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Procter Gamble odds to be computed.

Procter Gamble Target Price Odds to finish over 128.23

The tendency of Procter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 128.23  in 90 days
 151.32 90 days 128.23 
about 83.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Procter Gamble to stay above $ 128.23  in 90 days from now is about 83.4 (This Procter Gamble probability density function shows the probability of Procter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Procter Gamble price to stay between $ 128.23  and its current price of $151.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.31 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Procter Gamble has a beta of 0.61 indicating as returns on the market go up, Procter Gamble average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Procter Gamble will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1205, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Procter Gamble Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Procter Gamble

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Procter Gamble. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Procter Gamble's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Procter Gamble in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
149.01150.22151.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
135.22163.91165.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
151.60152.81154.03
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
138.00158.50185.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Procter Gamble. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Procter Gamble's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Procter Gamble's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Procter Gamble.

Procter Gamble Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Procter Gamble is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Procter Gamble's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Procter Gamble, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Procter Gamble within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.61
σ
Overall volatility
7.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Procter Gamble Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Procter Gamble for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Procter Gamble can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reports 22.85 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.74, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Procter Gamble has a current ratio of 0.61, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Procter Gamble until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Procter Gamble's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Procter Gamble sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Procter to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Procter Gamble's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Procter Gamble has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 65.0% of Procter Gamble shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of November 2022 Procter Gamble paid $ 0.9133 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 12 Very High-Yield Dividend Stocks To Buy Now - Yahoo Finance

Procter Gamble Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Procter Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Procter Gamble's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Procter Gamble's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2539100000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments7214000000.00

Procter Gamble Technical Analysis

Procter Gamble's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Procter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Procter Gamble. In general, you should focus on analyzing Procter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Procter Gamble Predictive Forecast Models

Procter Gamble time-series forecasting models is one of many Procter Gamble's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Procter Gamble's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Procter Gamble

Checking the ongoing alerts about Procter Gamble for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Procter Gamble help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reports 22.85 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.74, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Procter Gamble has a current ratio of 0.61, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Procter Gamble until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Procter Gamble's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Procter Gamble sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Procter to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Procter Gamble's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Procter Gamble has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 65.0% of Procter Gamble shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of November 2022 Procter Gamble paid $ 0.9133 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 12 Very High-Yield Dividend Stocks To Buy Now - Yahoo Finance
Please check Procter Gamble Backtesting, Procter Gamble Valuation, Procter Gamble Correlation, Procter Gamble Hype Analysis, Procter Gamble Volatility, Procter Gamble History as well as Procter Gamble Performance. Note that the Procter Gamble information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Procter Gamble's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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When running Procter Gamble price analysis, check to measure Procter Gamble's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Procter Gamble is operating at the current time. Most of Procter Gamble's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Procter Gamble's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Procter Gamble's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Procter Gamble to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Procter Gamble's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Procter Gamble. If investors know Procter will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Procter Gamble listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.021) 
Market Capitalization
356 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.013
Return On Assets
0.0986
Return On Equity
0.3224
The market value of Procter Gamble is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Procter that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Procter Gamble's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Procter Gamble's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Procter Gamble's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Procter Gamble's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Procter Gamble's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Procter Gamble value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Procter Gamble's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.