Pfizer Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 59.45

PFE -  USA Stock  

USD 51.59  1.50  2.99%

Pfizer's future price is the expected price of Pfizer instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pfizer Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 18.40, whereas Price to Book Value is forecasted to decline to 3.64.
  
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Pfizer's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Pfizer Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Pfizer based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Pfizer Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-06-24 CALL at $51.5 is a CALL option contract on Pfizer's common stock with a strick price of 51.5 expiring on 2022-06-24. The contract was last traded on 2022-06-23 at 15:59:34 for $0.03 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.02, and an ask price of $0.03. The implied volatility as of the 25th of June is 36.0933. View All Pfizer options

Closest to current price Pfizer long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Pfizer Backtesting, Pfizer Valuation, Pfizer Correlation, Pfizer Hype Analysis, Pfizer Volatility, Pfizer History as well as Pfizer Performance. Please specify Pfizer time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Pfizer odds to be computed.
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Pfizer Target Price Odds to finish over 59.45

The tendency of Pfizer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 59.45  or more in 90 days
 51.59 90 days 59.45  near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pfizer to move over $ 59.45  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pfizer Inc probability density function shows the probability of Pfizer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pfizer Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 51.59  and $ 59.45  at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.18 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Pfizer has a beta of 0.7 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pfizer average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pfizer Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0832, implying that it can generate a 0.0832 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Pfizer Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Pfizer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pfizer Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pfizer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Pfizer in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
49.7351.6053.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
46.4355.0256.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
51.2053.0754.94
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
41.0058.9275.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pfizer. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pfizer's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pfizer's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Pfizer Inc.

Pfizer Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pfizer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pfizer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pfizer Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pfizer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.08
β
Beta against DOW0.70
σ
Overall volatility
2.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Pfizer Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pfizer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pfizer Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pfizer Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: Incyte Corp. stock outperforms market on strong trading day - MarketWatch

Pfizer Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pfizer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pfizer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pfizer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.20%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.55
Short Percent Of Float1.20%
Float Shares5.62B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day22.71M
Shares Short Prior Month61.56M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month25.33M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.33%

Pfizer Technical Analysis

Pfizer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pfizer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pfizer Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pfizer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pfizer Predictive Forecast Models

Pfizer time-series forecasting models is one of many Pfizer's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Pfizer's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pfizer Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pfizer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pfizer Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Pfizer Alerts

Pfizer Alerts and Suggestions

Pfizer Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: Incyte Corp. stock outperforms market on strong trading day - MarketWatch
Please check Pfizer Backtesting, Pfizer Valuation, Pfizer Correlation, Pfizer Hype Analysis, Pfizer Volatility, Pfizer History as well as Pfizer Performance. Note that the Pfizer Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Pfizer's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for Pfizer Stock analysis

When running Pfizer Inc price analysis, check to measure Pfizer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pfizer is operating at the current time. Most of Pfizer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pfizer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pfizer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pfizer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Pfizer's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pfizer. If investors know Pfizer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pfizer listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.59
Market Capitalization
281 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.77
Return On Assets
0.12
Return On Equity
0.34
The market value of Pfizer Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pfizer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pfizer's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pfizer's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pfizer's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pfizer's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pfizer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Pfizer value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pfizer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.