Pepsico Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 184.11

PEP
 Stock
  

USD 184.11  0.97  0.52%   

Pepsico's future price is the expected price of Pepsico instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pepsico performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of 28th of November 2022, Price to Book Value is likely to drop to 13.25. In addition to that, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to 26.66.
  
Pepsico's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Pepsico. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Pepsico based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Pepsico over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-02 CALL at $185.0 is a CALL option contract on Pepsico's common stock with a strick price of 185.0 expiring on 2022-12-02. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-25 at 12:57:56 for $0.89 and, as of today, has 4 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.79, and an ask price of $1.0. The implied volatility as of the 28th of November is 13.4514. View All Pepsico options

Closest to current price Pepsico long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Pepsico Backtesting, Pepsico Valuation, Pepsico Correlation, Pepsico Hype Analysis, Pepsico Volatility, Pepsico History as well as Pepsico Performance. Please specify Pepsico time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Pepsico odds to be computed.

Pepsico Target Price Odds to finish over 184.11

The tendency of Pepsico Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 184.11 90 days 184.11 
nearly 4.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pepsico to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.5 (This Pepsico probability density function shows the probability of Pepsico Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Pepsico has a beta of 0.7 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pepsico average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pepsico will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0064, implying that it can generate a 0.006445 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pepsico Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pepsico

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pepsico. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pepsico's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Pepsico in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
182.94184.28185.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
166.89168.23202.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
187.94189.28190.62
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
136.00170.77200.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pepsico. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pepsico's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pepsico's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Pepsico.

Pepsico Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pepsico is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pepsico's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pepsico, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pepsico within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.006445
β
Beta against DOW0.70
σ
Overall volatility
6.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.0088

Pepsico Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pepsico for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pepsico can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 39.25 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.05, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Pepsico has a current ratio of 0.9, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Pepsico until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pepsico's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pepsico sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pepsico to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pepsico's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 74.0% of Pepsico shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Shareholders may not want to ignore the US12m worth sales made by PepsiCo, Inc. insiders this past year - Yahoo Finance

Pepsico Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pepsico Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pepsico's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pepsico's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date1st of September 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out0.73%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate4.45
Short Percent Of Float0.73%
Float Shares1.37B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day4.42M
Shares Short Prior Month8.74M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month5.11M
Date Short Interest15th of November 2022

Pepsico Technical Analysis

Pepsico's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pepsico Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pepsico. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pepsico Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pepsico Predictive Forecast Models

Pepsico time-series forecasting models is one of many Pepsico's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Pepsico's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pepsico

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pepsico for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pepsico help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 39.25 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.05, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Pepsico has a current ratio of 0.9, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Pepsico until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pepsico's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pepsico sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pepsico to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pepsico's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 74.0% of Pepsico shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Shareholders may not want to ignore the US12m worth sales made by PepsiCo, Inc. insiders this past year - Yahoo Finance
Please check Pepsico Backtesting, Pepsico Valuation, Pepsico Correlation, Pepsico Hype Analysis, Pepsico Volatility, Pepsico History as well as Pepsico Performance. Note that the Pepsico information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Pepsico's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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When running Pepsico price analysis, check to measure Pepsico's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pepsico is operating at the current time. Most of Pepsico's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pepsico's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pepsico's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pepsico to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Pepsico's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pepsico. If investors know Pepsico will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pepsico listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.22
Market Capitalization
253.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.088
Return On Assets
0.0838
Return On Equity
0.56
The market value of Pepsico is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pepsico that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pepsico's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pepsico's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pepsico's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pepsico's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pepsico's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Pepsico value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pepsico's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.